@dfc66e3e…dmsd

#3,036,88935

0xe25cdab15bc7a740ce1258b31f46e26831767908

~45d· 358 markets · 21572 tradesVol: $611,2172026-08-04 09:02:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (234/358)17.7/20
0.75x (win $39,687 / loss $53,264)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5710/15
Sortino -2.7900/10
$-0.0517 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 70 (358 markets)10/10
25/43 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($19,819 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 65%
DCA Master
Avg 60.3 entries/market
Whale
$262,542 invested
High Roller
$2,283/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#296,841$-834Vol: $596,208
💰 FINANCE#657,177$-3,470Vol: $14,877

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$611,217
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
358
total markets
Trades
9490B / 12082S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
234W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$-4,272
Win Rate
65%
234W / 124L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$170
Avg Loss
$-430

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,567 (1.537056065688117% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?$3,530
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$2,207
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$830
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?$810
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?$804
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?$800
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?$773
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?$649
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$609
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?$595

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?$-4,427
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?$-3,827
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-3,630
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?$-2,497
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?$-2,254
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 27?$-2,108
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$-2,051
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 11?$-1,923
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?$-1,800
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?$-1,786

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
187.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6m
between trades
Night Trading
65%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
29 min
Avg Trades / Session
139.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — normal for humanCV 2.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)65% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity188 trades/day — automation3.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
60.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)70.1%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 3:54:54 AM1083 trades$15,59495 min
6/17/2026, 7:19:23 AM70 trades$7,01912 min
6/13/2026, 7:07:45 AM109 trades$6,95033 min
4/28/2026, 6:15:54 AM111 trades$6,50614 min
4/26/2026, 4:19:38 AM426 trades$6,42191 min
6/16/2026, 5:28:45 AM31 trades$5,5809 min
6/17/2026, 7:51:32 AM81 trades$5,34717 min
4/17/2026, 1:07:50 PM15 trades$5,0174 min
4/14/2026, 10:55:33 AM4 trades$4,7270 min
6/13/2026, 5:49:21 AM341 trades$4,63370 min
6/17/2026, 4:06:04 AM221 trades$3,98668 min
5/8/2026, 6:35:00 AM213 trades$3,93039 min
6/15/2026, 7:06:10 AM86 trades$3,92723 min
3/20/2026, 3:31:09 AM1 trades$3,8000 min
5/12/2026, 5:20:56 AM314 trades$3,78171 min
6/13/2026, 2:43:04 AM241 trades$3,70159 min
7/10/2026, 8:40:44 AM33 trades$3,5357 min
6/17/2026, 10:29:50 PM109 trades$3,45731 min
5/7/2026, 5:51:26 AM192 trades$3,44437 min
6/15/2026, 9:53:46 PM89 trades$3,42132 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
04-28
05-09
05-28
06-12
06-19
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 60.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8 / M22 / H70.1