@johnaur

#332,39742

0xe2a5b3bd63e40bddd5b7f58c0622d3e5de1cea97

~37d· 23 markets · 72 tradesVol: $12,0672026-08-05 16:43:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (10/15)18.3/20
1.02x (win $2,738 / loss $2,683)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1302.4/15
Sortino 0.2172.2/10
$+0.0089 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 1084 (15 markets)7.1/10
10/15 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($2,246 / $2,287)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+43
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Consistent
10/15 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#67,764$341Vol: $10,213
🏛️ POLITICS#347,043$1Vol: $687
₿ CRYPTO#1,565,195$-300Vol: $600
💰 FINANCE#117,256$2Vol: $288
🎭 CULTURE#236,735$0Vol: $201
🌤️ WEATHER#181,050$-1Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,067
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
72B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $2
Week
$0
Vol: $76
Month
$0
Vol: $76
All Time
$43
Vol: $12,067

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
10W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$43
Win Rate
67%
10W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$274
Avg Loss
$-537

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,724 (63.45958537153506% of PnL)

Top Winners

Thunder vs. Nuggets$1,247
Guardians vs. Twins$1,040
Tigers vs. White Sox$437
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $3
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$2
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$2
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$1

Top Losers

Brewers vs. Reds$-784
Reds vs. Nationals$-559
Rays vs. Yankees$-540
Cardinals vs. Marlins$-500
Solana Up or Down on August 22?$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.021
HHI
879
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
31.3%
Half-Kelly
15.6%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
57.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6615s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)87.5%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2025, 8:12:53 AM2 trades$9600 min
6/4/2025, 5:29:36 AM1 trades$7840 min
5/14/2025, 7:18:40 AM2 trades$7330 min
7/23/2025, 7:12:17 AM2 trades$5590 min
8/11/2025, 10:17:46 AM1 trades$5480 min
7/29/2025, 8:00:43 AM1 trades$5400 min
8/18/2025, 9:54:54 AM1 trades$5000 min
8/21/2025, 6:01:32 AM1 trades$3000 min
5/22/2026, 10:46:06 AM1 trades$510 min
7/11/2026, 3:12:14 PM1 trades$510 min
6/27/2026, 2:59:35 PM1 trades$510 min
6/19/2026, 10:31:23 PM1 trades$500 min
5/21/2026, 5:42:25 PM1 trades$500 min
5/25/2026, 7:58:48 AM1 trades$500 min
6/17/2026, 5:01:49 PM1 trades$490 min
6/19/2026, 11:42:41 PM1 trades$490 min
5/29/2026, 5:39:15 AM1 trades$470 min
6/9/2026, 11:44:01 AM1 trades$470 min
7/30/2026, 3:13:26 AM1 trades$460 min
6/5/2026, 12:28:09 AM1 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
06-04
07-29
08-18
05-08
05-22
05-29
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M12.5 / H87.5