@ripper2020
#173,133630xe2e6cc301b02fea520be107288c86ef75dee060c
~34d· 42 markets · 243 tradesVol: $16,8982026-08-04 16:48:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
29% (12/41)0/20
2.77x (win $1,636 / loss $591)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.35615/15
Sortino 25.34310/10
$+0.6296 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2411 (41 markets)0.4/10
10/24 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($152 / $1,080)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+202
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Categories
4💻 TECH#5,079$135Vol: $7,750
💰 FINANCE#608,015$-30Vol: $7,734
🏛️ POLITICS#70,712$82Vol: $966
⚽ SPORTS#248,830$15Vol: $448
Overview
#1Net PnL
$202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,898
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
89B / 154S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$202
Vol: $16,898
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
12W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$202
Win Rate
29%
12W / 29L
Profit Factor
2.77x
Avg Win
$136
Avg Loss
$-26
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,168 (5.771713876118444% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$507
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$488
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$173
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$118
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$110
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?$84
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$72
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$43
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)$17
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5$15
Top Losers
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $-172
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$-96
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?$-70
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$-60
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-41
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-29
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-20
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$-18
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$-16
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-14
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.274
Sortino
1.291
HHI
654
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.637
Kelly %
9.3%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
48.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1533s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)39.3%
High (>55c)42.7%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 2:59:50 PM14 trades$1,2801 min
7/8/2026, 4:06:35 PM14 trades$1,0450 min
7/8/2026, 2:40:13 PM7 trades$8650 min
6/8/2026, 5:50:18 PM13 trades$3104 min
6/7/2026, 6:16:37 PM7 trades$1880 min
6/7/2026, 6:46:31 PM5 trades$1503 min
7/1/2026, 6:06:20 PM9 trades$1411 min
6/4/2026, 12:58:15 PM7 trades$1330 min
6/9/2026, 11:18:49 AM3 trades$1300 min
2/15/2026, 12:09:17 AM3 trades$1245 min
6/10/2026, 6:12:25 PM2 trades$1030 min
2/18/2026, 9:28:24 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/8/2026, 4:10:34 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/8/2026, 5:19:42 PM3 trades$1000 min
7/11/2026, 5:48:04 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/26/2026, 9:23:49 PM5 trades$970 min
7/20/2026, 10:35:15 AM3 trades$910 min
6/7/2026, 8:44:06 PM2 trades$860 min
2/14/2026, 9:39:53 PM1 trades$830 min
6/7/2026, 8:12:15 PM5 trades$762 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
02-17
06-04
06-10
06-23
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M39.3 / H42.7