@Contradict

#3,059,44111

0xe32b46a28b649031939a78ee47fca260758a626e

~41d· 77 markets · 862 tradesVol: $143,5922026-08-05 16:34:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (18/65)0/20
0.73x (win $18,516 / loss $25,349)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8340/15
Sortino -3.7680/10
$-0.2278 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 330 (65 markets)10/10
11/34 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 296% of peak ($11,479 / $3,874)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
93% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,165$-4,351Vol: $80,779
💰 FINANCE#657,394$-3,086Vol: $17,542
📈 ECONOMICS#680,333$-1,399Vol: $12,208
💻 TECH#257,451$-835Vol: $10,215
₿ CRYPTO#1,568,640$-318Vol: $7,951
🎭 CULTURE#812,629$-1,374Vol: $7,721
📢 MENTIONS#895$1,572Vol: $7,176

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,791
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,592
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
173B / 689S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$161
Vol: $0
Week
$-22
Vol: $0
Month
$-256
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9,791
Vol: $143,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
18W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-9,791
Win Rate
28%
18W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$1,029
Avg Loss
$-539

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,532 (0.9734667011184225% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?$3,565
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$3,193
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?$2,774
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?$2,243
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$1,540
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?$934
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$737
Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during June 24 Rally?$648
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?$631
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$592

Top Losers

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$-1,866
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-1,497
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$-1,494
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$-1,412
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$-1,397
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$-1,373
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,227
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$-1,199
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-1,157
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$-1,072

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.240
HHI
269
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.262
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
25.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
87%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 425s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)87% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity16 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.1%
Mid (20-55c)69.9%
High (>55c)6.9%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 3:58:05 AM51 trades$7,1764 min
7/11/2026, 3:14:55 AM7 trades$6,2180 min
6/20/2026, 3:28:46 AM12 trades$5,8911 min
6/3/2026, 4:02:08 AM20 trades$5,18910 min
7/9/2026, 2:50:11 AM57 trades$4,3735 min
7/20/2026, 3:03:33 AM21 trades$3,7542 min
6/24/2026, 3:09:44 AM50 trades$3,5536 min
7/9/2026, 3:02:02 AM20 trades$3,4970 min
6/29/2026, 2:46:10 AM16 trades$2,9810 min
6/18/2026, 2:47:17 AM5 trades$2,9160 min
6/5/2026, 3:31:04 AM32 trades$2,9065 min
6/27/2026, 2:35:13 AM13 trades$2,5190 min
7/15/2026, 3:08:19 AM26 trades$2,4586 min
6/20/2026, 12:39:52 PM17 trades$2,4011 min
6/7/2026, 12:24:10 AM3 trades$2,3430 min
7/14/2026, 2:29:29 AM8 trades$2,1790 min
6/12/2026, 4:42:16 AM12 trades$2,1290 min
6/15/2026, 5:14:34 AM13 trades$2,1140 min
7/10/2026, 2:46:14 AM19 trades$1,8622 min
6/5/2026, 3:16:37 AM20 trades$1,8207 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
06-10
06-17
06-25
07-01
07-10
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.05/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.1 / M69.9 / H6.9