Nikoliora

@Nikoliora

#3,031,30233

0xe38bd16c7f23ef2d8a4c66b0f559c96179a58996

~168d· 327 markets · 1430 tradesVol: $651,565 @Nikoliora2026-08-04 15:18:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (192/321)14.9/20
0.54x (win $8,638 / loss $15,997)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9130/15
Sortino -2.1750/10
$-0.0409 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 563 (321 markets)9.7/10
77/124 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 1122% of peak ($8,568 / $763)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$179,786 invested
Consistent
77/124 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,660,320$-3,166Vol: $307,001
💰 FINANCE#18,215$99Vol: $287,393
SPORTS#1,796,737$-512Vol: $54,293
🏛️ POLITICS#1,547,935$-151Vol: $1,306
💻 TECH#19,492$8Vol: $1,099
📈 ECONOMICS#13,840$83Vol: $408
🎭 CULTURE#282,854$0Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,638
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$651,565
Total Redeem
$120
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
327
total markets
Trades
923B / 507S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~168d

Periods

#2
Today
$-20
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $335
Month
$-47
Vol: $624
All Time
$-3,638
Vol: $651,565

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
192W / 129L events
Realized PnL
$-3,638
Win Rate
60%
192W / 129L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-258

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,313 (1.185673402848605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$2,894
Will Solana dip to $140 in June?$711
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$708
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$474
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?$422
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$402
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$251
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$247
ICC WWC: Pakistan vs. Sri Lanka (Oct 24)$235
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 August 18–24?$191

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?$-3,526
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-2,624
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-2,360
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$-1,151
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?$-999
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$-909
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?$-470
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs England (Oct 25)$-426
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-420
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.070
HHI
690
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
50.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 302s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)62.9%

Sessions

#12
12/16/2025, 3:04:09 PM9 trades$18,36512 min
12/16/2025, 3:23:53 PM4 trades$12,2011 min
1/2/2026, 6:51:09 AM4 trades$8,3122 min
6/3/2025, 4:05:42 PM14 trades$7,50218 min
5/30/2025, 11:21:24 AM1 trades$7,3800 min
12/15/2025, 10:43:27 AM2 trades$5,7933 min
7/11/2026, 2:19:13 PM22 trades$5,5304 min
6/1/2025, 8:12:55 PM15 trades$4,29218 min
7/13/2026, 5:37:11 PM2 trades$4,1030 min
5/30/2025, 11:52:20 AM3 trades$3,9246 min
5/28/2025, 3:28:36 PM1 trades$3,7130 min
5/27/2025, 7:28:56 AM1 trades$3,6540 min
6/11/2026, 9:00:24 PM17 trades$3,2310 min
6/3/2025, 4:46:50 PM5 trades$3,0907 min
12/21/2025, 12:50:25 PM3 trades$2,8961 min
5/30/2025, 11:32:38 AM1 trades$2,4500 min
5/30/2025, 11:42:06 AM1 trades$2,4500 min
6/12/2025, 11:29:13 AM1 trades$2,2420 min
5/30/2025, 4:07:24 AM2 trades$2,1624 min
6/23/2026, 5:46:56 AM3 trades$2,1270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
06-02
09-07
01-02
02-02
04-24
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 401 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M19.6 / H62.9