@0xe3D766…5378

#2,913,8874

0xe3d7665fd4dd4ea9af73649da0f9af30e87e2ffb

~18d· 38 markets · 622 tradesVol: $227,9292026-08-04 19:05:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (4/38)0/20
0.95x (win $2,851 / loss $3,008)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3610/15
Sortino -0.8050/10
$-0.0309 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2060 (38 markets)2.2/10
4/17 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 1246% of peak ($2,182 / $175)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#802,597$-362Vol: $196,227
₿ CRYPTO#1,552,170$-244Vol: $17,604
📈 ECONOMICS#591,133$-8Vol: $8,400
⚽ SPORTS#1,764,371$-285Vol: $5,697

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-900
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$227,929
Total Redeem
$24
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
152B / 470S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
4W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-900
Win Rate
11%
4W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$713
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,788 (3.0966516741629184% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$1,897
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$645
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$247
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$63

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-328
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-266
Spread: Australia (-2.5)$-264
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-223
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-206
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$-203
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-177
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-163
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-160
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-143

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.018
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
631
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
45.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.6%
Mid (20-55c)33.6%
High (>55c)13.8%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 6:36:04 AM2 trades$7,5000 min
6/3/2026, 3:58:36 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/25/2026, 8:07:40 AM4 trades$2,3530 min
6/16/2026, 1:53:16 PM6 trades$2,3390 min
6/5/2026, 3:02:03 AM96 trades$1,77717 min
6/5/2026, 3:30:42 AM68 trades$1,5736 min
6/6/2026, 6:31:04 AM30 trades$1,1905 min
6/23/2026, 3:29:38 PM9 trades$1,0860 min
6/8/2026, 8:03:03 PM35 trades$1,0540 min
6/14/2026, 5:39:48 AM24 trades$1,0152 min
6/16/2026, 1:21:50 PM5 trades$9130 min
6/17/2026, 5:29:14 PM2 trades$9000 min
6/5/2026, 11:03:27 AM15 trades$7590 min
6/8/2026, 7:31:54 AM10 trades$7550 min
6/23/2026, 3:16:53 PM7 trades$6763 min
6/27/2026, 6:17:38 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/12/2026, 3:29:07 PM6 trades$5300 min
6/12/2026, 2:25:01 PM4 trades$5260 min
6/11/2026, 3:41:48 AM12 trades$5072 min
6/7/2026, 7:31:52 AM21 trades$4490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
06-05
06-07
06-10
06-12
06-15
06-17
06-23
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.03/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.6 / M33.6 / H13.8