@Murchison
#305,474310xe3d7f2a46544dfd8f0f5eea8e9771b0ec84c2718
~8d· 9 markets · 47 tradesVol: $17,1772026-08-04 20:09:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (2/3)18.3/20
1.04x (win $122 / loss $118)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 3560 (3 markets)0/10
2/3 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 157% of peak ($118 / $75)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+54
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
Consistent
2/3 profitable days
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#141,411$17Vol: $16,658
⚽ SPORTS#185,820$38Vol: $469
🎭 CULTURE#431,508$-0Vol: $50
Overview
#1Net PnL
$54
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,177
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
28B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$54
Vol: $17,177
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
2W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$54
Win Rate
67%
2W / 1L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-118
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $122 (2.25% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)$75
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?$47
Top Losers
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$-118
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
inf
HHI
1248
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.8%
Top-5 markets
49.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.7m
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)42.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)57.1%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 4:53:13 AM4 trades$9960 min
7/15/2026, 5:30:02 AM3 trades$9960 min
6/29/2026, 10:03:05 AM4 trades$9770 min
7/10/2026, 2:06:43 AM3 trades$9460 min
6/13/2026, 7:27:07 AM5 trades$7050 min
6/15/2026, 5:37:55 AM4 trades$4800 min
6/9/2026, 5:02:06 AM2 trades$4780 min
6/9/2026, 6:31:00 AM2 trades$4690 min
7/21/2026, 6:47:01 AM2 trades$4680 min
7/21/2026, 7:32:27 AM1 trades$4520 min
6/9/2026, 6:20:24 AM1 trades$4300 min
7/10/2026, 1:13:59 AM4 trades$1158 min
6/29/2026, 8:47:43 AM2 trades$730 min
6/13/2026, 6:48:19 AM2 trades$420 min
7/31/2026, 9:11:29 AM4 trades$273 min
6/15/2026, 4:02:34 AM2 trades$250 min
7/10/2026, 6:00:20 AM2 trades$104 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-13
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.9 / M0 / H57.1