@MurphysLaw3625
#3,050,971740xe41b667d55da9cf854c8b5d78f4ebd7306829397
~124d· 2055 markets · 7241 tradesVol: $280,5662026-08-04 21:49:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (1025/2004)10.6/20
2.03x (win $7,785 / loss $3,842)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.00715/15
Sortino 4.14710/10
$+0.1184 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 1116 (2004 markets)6.9/10
71/120 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($2,050 / $3,944)3.6/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,875,188$-5,773Vol: $134,753
₿ CRYPTO#1,615,596$-945Vol: $99,805
🏛️ POLITICS#1,533,777$-117Vol: $16,915
🎭 CULTURE#81,584$7Vol: $12,521
🌤️ WEATHER#15,558$22Vol: $11,025
💰 FINANCE#585,076$-14Vol: $3,205
📈 ECONOMICS#31,181$18Vol: $1,402
📢 MENTIONS#88,876$-1Vol: $409
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,804
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$280,566
Total Redeem
$10,312
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2055
total markets
Trades
5289B / 1952S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $235
Week
$-6
Vol: $585
Month
$-7
Vol: $835
All Time
$-6,804
Vol: $280,566
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
1025W / 978L events
Realized PnL
$-6,804
Win Rate
51%
1025W / 978L
Profit Factor
2.03x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,143 (0.60888747799147% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1,570
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$1,318
France vs. England: O/U 7.5$1,254
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5$985
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$664
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$524
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5$135
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$127
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$99
Top Losers
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-1,137
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-557
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5$-480
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-65
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-45
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.105
Sortino
0.142
HHI
1333
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.1%
Top-5 markets
62.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
9.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.4m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
16.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.9
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 178s — normal for humanCV 16.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency9.3 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)66.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)18.8%
Sessions
#127/18/2026, 10:49:57 PM3 trades$11,9930 min
7/8/2026, 3:18:16 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/27/2026, 4:59:25 AM23 trades$6,3173 min
5/18/2026, 8:23:13 PM2 trades$5,8200 min
7/18/2026, 10:33:15 PM13 trades$5,7740 min
7/6/2026, 7:48:34 PM8 trades$3,4740 min
7/11/2026, 10:11:38 PM2 trades$2,6630 min
7/4/2026, 9:13:52 PM12 trades$2,2961 min
7/10/2026, 6:53:20 PM2 trades$1,7550 min
7/10/2026, 8:56:29 PM5 trades$1,6140 min
6/27/2026, 4:46:40 AM14 trades$1,4967 min
6/25/2026, 6:58:14 PM14 trades$1,4930 min
6/26/2026, 9:26:17 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
7/26/2026, 6:47:18 PM3 trades$9210 min
7/10/2026, 5:06:41 AM32 trades$5840 min
3/31/2026, 11:09:29 PM57 trades$50921 min
6/26/2026, 7:22:08 PM1 trades$4800 min
7/26/2026, 8:38:45 AM1 trades$3830 min
4/1/2026, 11:25:07 AM18 trades$31010 min
6/18/2026, 3:12:49 PM10 trades$2393 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
01-28
02-17
05-03
06-24
07-14
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.9 / M14.3 / H18.8