@0xe45e…5981

#3,017,45358

0xe45e40d25e2f493989c62daafc4d5e8e791d5981

~14d· 43 markets · 505 tradesVol: $143,3462026-08-05 01:00:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (16/43)3.6/20
1.47x (win $9,719 / loss $6,599)8.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.72515/15
Sortino 5.79110/10
$+0.1174 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 594 (43 markets)9.5/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($2,796 / $3,121)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,655,948$-2,464Vol: $49,505
🏛️ POLITICS#19,141$903Vol: $48,306
⚽ SPORTS#1,831,130$-1,076Vol: $40,048
📈 ECONOMICS#644,821$-42Vol: $5,375
💰 FINANCE#526,648$-3Vol: $111

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,683
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,346
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
164B / 341S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
16W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-2,683
Win Rate
37%
16W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$607
Avg Loss
$-254

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,314 (1.9803456101842092% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,256
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1,892
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$1,166
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5$767
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$690
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$670
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$561
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$405
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$255
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5$237

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-2,375
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-2,354
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$-582
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$-256
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10AM ET$-199
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$-165
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-141
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-121
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$-108
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.187
Sortino
0.224
HHI
668
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
48.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1140s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.7%
High (>55c)37.2%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 9:27:40 PM22 trades$7,0502 min
6/25/2026, 2:52:23 AM11 trades$4,7881 min
4/22/2026, 8:58:40 AM14 trades$4,1734 min
4/22/2026, 7:25:22 PM16 trades$3,0261 min
6/25/2026, 8:10:31 AM2 trades$2,7930 min
6/24/2026, 11:56:34 PM7 trades$2,7541 min
6/25/2026, 9:04:37 AM5 trades$1,7430 min
4/22/2026, 8:13:18 AM14 trades$1,6311 min
4/24/2026, 2:51:20 PM37 trades$1,4350 min
4/21/2026, 10:25:54 AM4 trades$1,3480 min
7/3/2026, 11:45:46 AM7 trades$1,3160 min
7/3/2026, 8:42:10 PM5 trades$1,3110 min
4/21/2026, 5:49:54 PM17 trades$1,2962 min
4/21/2026, 12:30:44 PM23 trades$1,1820 min
4/20/2026, 8:15:14 PM7 trades$1,1240 min
6/23/2026, 5:40:50 PM7 trades$1,0570 min
6/29/2026, 7:10:08 PM37 trades$1,0170 min
6/24/2026, 11:27:23 PM4 trades$9870 min
7/2/2026, 9:50:05 PM2 trades$9750 min
4/20/2026, 8:48:36 PM7 trades$9231 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
04-21
04-24
06-23
06-25
06-29
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.1 / M17.7 / H37.2