PeterStuyvesant

@PeterStuyvesant

#181,01266

0xe47625e4c10888514a602f8bc379d840466530ee

~19d· 45 markets · 404 tradesVol: $54,8062026-08-05 03:23:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (31/39)20/20
1.13x (win $1,953 / loss $1,729)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.14215/15
Sortino 1.40310/10
$+0.0054 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 1099 (39 markets)7/10
6/8 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 130% of peak ($1,333 / $1,027)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+184
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Consistent
6/8 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#52,269$149Vol: $18,585
SPORTS#1,756,809$-252Vol: $16,877
CRYPTO#56,086$276Vol: $16,316
📈 ECONOMICS#617,950$-16Vol: $2,132
💰 FINANCE#35,810$26Vol: $896

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$184
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,806
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
147B / 257S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$31
Vol: $0
Week
$115
Vol: $0
Month
$129
Vol: $7,417
All Time
$184
Vol: $54,806

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
31W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$184
Win Rate
79%
31W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-346

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $972 (5.2959211457822795% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$513
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$231
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$229
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$200
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$135
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$116
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$94
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$51
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47

Top Losers

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$-1,038
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-351
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-248
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-49
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.053
HHI
955
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.3%
Top-5 markets
57.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 163s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.31
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)93.2%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 10:36:17 PM2 trades$5,8000 min
7/29/2026, 5:35:50 PM2 trades$4,5000 min
8/1/2026, 7:20:33 AM4 trades$4,0070 min
6/12/2026, 9:45:13 PM51 trades$3,66122 min
7/30/2026, 3:01:08 AM5 trades$3,1443 min
7/10/2026, 1:46:37 PM6 trades$2,7666 min
7/21/2026, 2:03:45 AM6 trades$2,6720 min
7/29/2026, 5:57:47 PM2 trades$2,5870 min
7/15/2026, 1:24:38 PM5 trades$2,5301 min
6/28/2026, 3:38:37 PM4 trades$2,4913 min
7/29/2026, 6:08:38 PM17 trades$2,3726 min
7/1/2026, 10:28:28 PM3 trades$2,3380 min
7/20/2026, 6:11:19 PM1 trades$2,0590 min
7/29/2026, 5:45:23 PM3 trades$1,8860 min
6/30/2026, 10:29:38 PM11 trades$1,8597 min
7/10/2026, 12:32:50 PM2 trades$1,7200 min
7/19/2026, 10:33:28 PM35 trades$1,6274 min
6/12/2026, 7:10:45 PM22 trades$1,5646 min
7/15/2026, 1:09:59 PM5 trades$1,0950 min
7/29/2026, 9:18:56 PM11 trades$1,0239 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-22
06-30
07-04
07-10
07-19
07-29
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.7 / M6.1 / H93.2