@Nicholas13

#3,066,9158

0xe47cfead9de524cfe0e9240e9fbbb9809b9d1e55

~62d· 43 markets · 952 tradesVol: $1,629,0462026-08-04 14:06:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (5/43)0/20
0.52x (win $15,279 / loss $29,203)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3410/15
Sortino -5.5830/10
$-0.2364 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 857 (43 markets)8.2/10
4/36 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 412% of peak ($24,690 / $5,988)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Whale
$58,892 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,494$-16,651Vol: $1,272,829
📈 ECONOMICS#680,665$-1,893Vol: $277,916
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,557$-2,627Vol: $78,301

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21,171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,629,046
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
610B / 342S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$97
Vol: $4,000
Week
$317
Vol: $23,013
Month
$-2,308
Vol: $87,042
All Time
$-21,171
Vol: $1,629,046

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
5W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-21,486
Win Rate
12%
5W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$3,056
Avg Loss
$-769

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,245 (0.7094985665351106% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$8,995
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$6,123
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?$126
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?$6

Top Losers

Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?$-6,054
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$-2,627
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$-1,766
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$-1,642
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?$-1,326
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on November 6?$-1,075
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?$-1,001
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?$-935
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 15-21?$-923
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28?$-825

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.172
Sortino
-0.356
HHI
801
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.236
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
57.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.3m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 4.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.3%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)2.1%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 4:28:08 AM24 trades$16,3159 min
6/2/2026, 4:03:06 AM50 trades$13,5930 min
2/25/2025, 3:14:07 PM16 trades$8,9833 min
3/4/2025, 5:14:28 PM3 trades$8,0938 min
3/10/2025, 12:10:55 PM29 trades$6,41916 min
3/6/2025, 1:01:55 PM5 trades$6,4136 min
6/22/2026, 5:41:50 AM13 trades$6,4111 min
8/1/2026, 5:46:33 AM10 trades$6,0980 min
5/8/2026, 6:20:38 PM12 trades$5,6255 min
8/1/2026, 3:05:35 AM20 trades$5,5259 min
6/4/2026, 10:17:18 PM4 trades$4,9760 min
6/22/2026, 6:01:35 AM4 trades$4,9620 min
5/8/2026, 9:48:27 PM10 trades$4,6780 min
3/2/2025, 5:56:09 PM2 trades$4,6260 min
3/3/2025, 1:58:55 PM2 trades$4,2953 min
2/10/2025, 12:41:10 PM3 trades$3,6054 min
7/29/2026, 3:54:33 PM1 trades$3,5190 min
2/9/2025, 4:09:31 PM1 trades$2,6330 min
2/27/2025, 5:33:35 AM2 trades$2,5881 min
2/11/2025, 1:03:12 AM14 trades$2,56811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-25
04-15
09-18
12-31
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 482 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.3 / M7.5 / H2.1