@0xe4a5…70a5

#2,870,04021

0xe4a57f61e871556c68e7ff7fa986e93c165970a5

~88d· 86 markets · 436 tradesVol: $30,1902026-08-05 18:26:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (35/75)8.3/20
0.41x (win $782 / loss $1,906)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1520/15
Sortino -3.2240/10
$-0.1266 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 794 (75 markets)8.5/10
24/52 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 2838% of peak ($1,180 / $42)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#95,132$45Vol: $13,476
💰 FINANCE#649,525$-455Vol: $12,088
💻 TECH#253,490$-201Vol: $2,311
📈 ECONOMICS#530,715$-2Vol: $888
₿ CRYPTO#174,087$23Vol: $627
🎭 CULTURE#65,960$11Vol: $435
⚽ SPORTS#398,567$2Vol: $364

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-579
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,190
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
179B / 257S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $66
Week
$15
Vol: $66
Month
$47
Vol: $66
All Time
$-579
Vol: $30,190

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
35W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-579
Win Rate
47%
35W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-56

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $406 (0.7013827748718214% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$245
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$89
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$72
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$31
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$28
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$25
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$21

Top Losers

Grok 4.4 released by July 10?$-675
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?$-231
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-193
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$-129
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-82
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-63
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-61
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?$-55
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$-54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.163
Sortino
-0.124
HHI
343
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
31.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)67%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 8:52:46 AM15 trades$2,6161 min
6/12/2026, 6:06:55 PM2 trades$1,3110 min
7/8/2026, 9:23:28 AM40 trades$1,1650 min
7/8/2026, 8:44:02 AM18 trades$1,0581 min
3/13/2026, 4:37:27 AM13 trades$6356 min
1/31/2026, 3:33:58 PM1 trades$5990 min
2/4/2026, 12:48:10 PM1 trades$4560 min
1/14/2026, 12:45:24 AM1 trades$4160 min
1/13/2026, 6:19:49 PM1 trades$4000 min
5/15/2026, 4:56:55 AM22 trades$3945 min
5/15/2026, 5:15:53 AM3 trades$3580 min
6/8/2026, 11:54:12 AM5 trades$3461 min
5/15/2026, 2:39:11 PM5 trades$3240 min
2/11/2026, 10:20:53 AM1 trades$3230 min
11/18/2025, 4:42:37 AM1 trades$3050 min
2/3/2026, 1:09:40 AM2 trades$3031 min
3/7/2026, 10:59:07 PM3 trades$2973 min
11/16/2025, 8:08:18 AM1 trades$2790 min
7/2/2026, 1:42:49 AM2 trades$2730 min
3/9/2026, 3:15:07 AM1 trades$2660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-18
02-12
03-09
03-19
04-03
04-28
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 175 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.6 / M17.3 / H67