@oncilla
#93,386360xe4dba209fc576621cfd126fdb757a5e8f349b966
~149d· 241 markets · 1099 tradesVol: $100,7082026-08-04 19:56:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (138/225)15.7/20
0.95x (win $3,371 / loss $3,545)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2110/15
Sortino -0.2430/10
$-0.0052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 180 (225 markets)10/10
66/101 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($1,598 / $1,363)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+769
Consistent
66/101 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#26,230$532Vol: $81,155
🌤️ WEATHER#4,000$281Vol: $7,828
⚽ SPORTS#313,528$7Vol: $4,236
🎭 CULTURE#738,568$-27Vol: $3,591
💰 FINANCE#25,058$54Vol: $2,048
📈 ECONOMICS#37,700$12Vol: $858
📢 MENTIONS#162,342$-87Vol: $582
💻 TECH#221,329$-7Vol: $340
₿ CRYPTO#294,678$5Vol: $71
Overview
#1Net PnL
$769
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$100,708
Total Redeem
$74
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
241
total markets
Trades
496B / 603S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $639
Month
$-23
Vol: $639
All Time
$769
Vol: $100,708
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
138W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$769
Win Rate
61%
138W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-45
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,043 (1.3554215301427197% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$506
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$341
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$197
Named storm forms before hurricane season?$184
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$152
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$152
Will a hurricane form by August 31?$149
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$102
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$94
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$89
Top Losers
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,000
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-801
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?$-250
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-201
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-157
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-143
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-97
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-70
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$-56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-49
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.011
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
196
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 194s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)67.7%
Sessions
#123/5/2026, 12:55:07 PM6 trades$2,2332 min
3/5/2026, 12:35:25 PM4 trades$1,6382 min
5/15/2026, 11:04:46 AM24 trades$1,2082 min
3/4/2026, 11:30:29 AM9 trades$1,1395 min
5/18/2026, 1:38:58 PM26 trades$1,0793 min
6/5/2026, 6:34:52 PM35 trades$1,0273 min
3/2/2026, 12:25:51 AM2 trades$9302 min
5/14/2026, 5:57:10 PM19 trades$9072 min
4/1/2026, 3:18:51 PM10 trades$9050 min
2/16/2026, 9:20:19 AM3 trades$8981 min
5/13/2026, 8:57:12 AM5 trades$8391 min
2/22/2026, 12:34:58 PM1 trades$8350 min
2/22/2026, 1:11:40 PM1 trades$8320 min
5/28/2026, 7:59:55 PM6 trades$7721 min
2/21/2026, 7:27:16 AM4 trades$7172 min
2/6/2026, 10:01:33 AM2 trades$7000 min
10/10/2025, 5:26:08 AM5 trades$6573 min
1/19/2026, 1:38:46 PM4 trades$6123 min
1/31/2026, 6:10:24 PM1 trades$6000 min
5/10/2026, 4:37:20 PM10 trades$5790 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
08-05
09-08
11-22
02-23
05-12
06-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M20.4 / H67.7