@matandomoscas

#35,98975

0xe50582257ad922da3ea918917d715d45660bcc83

~45d· 36 markets · 395 tradesVol: $50,504 @moscasmatando2026-08-04 19:09:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (21/35)15/20
2.68x (win $6,075 / loss $2,266)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.25215/15
Sortino 7.68910/10
$+0.1366 per $1 invested6.8/10
HHI 2335 (35 markets)0.8/10
11/21 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($2,132 / $5,941)6.8/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+3,211
DCA Master
Avg 11.0 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#4,948$1,026Vol: $28,779
🏛️ POLITICS#18,305$971Vol: $14,959
CRYPTO#304,503$4Vol: $466
SPORTS#429,865$1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,504
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
307B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,211
Vol: $50,504

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
21W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$3,211
Win Rate
60%
21W / 14L
Profit Factor
2.68x
Avg Win
$289
Avg Loss
$-162

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,027 (1.5654895171309977% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2,742
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1,249
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1,037
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?$305
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$244
Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?$158
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$116
Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?$79
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?$51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 63.5 million views in week 1?$36

Top Losers

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?$-2,064
Will MrBeast hit 136 billion views by July 31?$-68
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-19
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?$-15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-14
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?$-9
Will MrBeast hit 515 million subscribers by July 31?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.217
Sortino
0.280
HHI
2397
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.2%
Top-5 markets
88.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1016s — normal for humanCV 3.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)69.7%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 11:03:15 PM1 trades$3,4250 min
5/23/2026, 11:56:58 AM1 trades$2,9940 min
5/9/2026, 1:17:18 PM18 trades$1,7276 min
5/12/2026, 10:36:30 PM3 trades$1,3800 min
7/6/2026, 10:07:44 AM8 trades$1,3210 min
6/6/2026, 3:37:51 PM2 trades$1,1931 min
5/9/2026, 12:49:12 PM6 trades$1,1880 min
5/31/2026, 11:22:16 PM3 trades$1,1382 min
5/31/2026, 10:29:01 PM1 trades$1,0990 min
6/5/2026, 11:31:25 PM18 trades$8181 min
7/6/2026, 10:29:25 PM1 trades$7000 min
5/26/2026, 4:55:13 AM3 trades$6730 min
5/20/2026, 10:02:06 PM11 trades$56111 min
6/1/2026, 3:41:01 PM2 trades$4890 min
5/29/2026, 5:52:04 PM1 trades$4250 min
5/29/2026, 1:44:14 PM1 trades$4200 min
5/26/2026, 8:08:04 PM4 trades$4141 min
5/20/2026, 7:44:47 PM6 trades$3574 min
5/17/2026, 2:50:26 PM13 trades$3552 min
5/31/2026, 5:13:43 PM1 trades$3460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-05
05-16
05-24
06-04
06-15
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.7 / M18.6 / H69.7