Not-A.Gambler

@Not-A.Gambler

#3,050,31528

0xe50b455f46b22cf3040cbf5b72b50e61129a32a2

~68d· 106 markets · 1368 tradesVol: $228,0472026-08-04 17:35:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (51/97)11.3/20
0.44x (win $29,628 / loss $66,925)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7610/15
Sortino -1.7820/10
$-0.3958 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 704 (97 markets)9/10
29/48 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 283% of peak ($59,548 / $21,044)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 16.6 entries/market
Whale
$94,233 invested
Consistent
29/48 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,640$-7,687Vol: $212,789
📈 ECONOMICS#6,089$331Vol: $5,979
💰 FINANCE#9,110$329Vol: $5,229
🎭 CULTURE#11,638$269Vol: $1,697
SPORTS#128,827$88Vol: $1,676
CRYPTO#235,082$10Vol: $524
💻 TECH#219,498$-6Vol: $152

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$228,047
Total Redeem
$174
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
106
total markets
Trades
532B / 836S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,665
Vol: $228,047

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
51W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-6,665
Win Rate
53%
51W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$581
Avg Loss
$-1,593

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,705 (2.356282331336942% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$7,917
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,362
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$3,426
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$2,500
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$1,727
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?$1,610
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,517
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$970
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$545
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$497

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-46,166
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-11,464
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-2,649
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-1,261
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-923
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-741
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$-728
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-497
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-408
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-405

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
1861
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.279
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.2%
Top-5 markets
82.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 508s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)79.1%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 7:16:57 PM11 trades$13,7230 min
7/4/2026, 1:25:44 AM6 trades$8,0000 min
6/14/2026, 4:28:48 PM4 trades$7,0870 min
6/1/2026, 1:21:28 AM7 trades$6,6910 min
6/14/2026, 3:48:12 PM7 trades$6,4430 min
7/29/2026, 11:45:08 PM3 trades$5,9970 min
5/12/2026, 3:10:20 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
7/2/2026, 3:11:25 AM9 trades$4,6800 min
5/21/2026, 4:55:41 PM7 trades$4,6180 min
5/23/2026, 4:10:47 PM40 trades$4,5755 min
6/5/2026, 6:35:36 AM15 trades$4,1375 min
6/15/2026, 1:01:13 AM14 trades$3,9890 min
5/15/2026, 9:13:20 AM10 trades$3,9705 min
6/12/2026, 3:34:51 PM6 trades$3,9410 min
6/15/2026, 3:55:03 AM16 trades$3,8751 min
6/12/2026, 11:21:57 PM11 trades$3,5460 min
7/10/2026, 3:40:52 PM12 trades$3,1510 min
7/5/2026, 9:44:29 AM2 trades$3,0430 min
4/13/2026, 5:35:01 PM20 trades$2,9950 min
4/11/2026, 5:17:55 PM4 trades$2,9154 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-21
04-17
05-07
05-27
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M14.3 / H79.1