@elcarboney

#2,816,0676

0xe54f55face5014ad8627f2c7839675e6104349da

~55d· 105 markets · 254 tradesVol: $17,7832026-08-04 19:47:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (28/100)0/20
0.52x (win $1,776 / loss $3,389)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4630/15
Sortino -3.5400/10
$-0.4747 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1521 (100 markets)4.9/10
18/50 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 434% of peak ($2,097 / $484)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,807,408$-603Vol: $13,411
🏛️ POLITICS#1,445,009$-40Vol: $421
🎭 CULTURE#578,523$-2Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-386
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,783
Total Redeem
$33
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
119B / 135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $152
Week
$-2
Vol: $152
Month
$0
Vol: $152
All Time
$-386
Vol: $17,783

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
28W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$-386
Win Rate
28%
28W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-59

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $525 (1.3577324122228258% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$213
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$196
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5$115
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$115
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5$110
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$105
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5$97
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$88
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$87

Top Losers

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-1,101
England to score first vs. Norway?$-340
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$-240
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5$-152
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Canada to score first vs. Switzerland?$-100
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5$-99
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$-99
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5$-90
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen$-84

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.179
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
579
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.386
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.2%
Top-5 markets
41%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2556s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.3%
Mid (20-55c)49.6%
High (>55c)20.2%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 3:29:52 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
7/8/2026, 1:20:47 AM2 trades$2,3000 min
6/16/2026, 12:38:18 AM2 trades$5190 min
7/11/2026, 9:00:29 PM6 trades$2870 min
6/24/2026, 8:01:20 PM5 trades$2431 min
6/27/2026, 3:59:10 AM7 trades$2372 min
6/18/2026, 9:52:53 PM3 trades$2310 min
6/26/2026, 2:55:35 AM4 trades$2241 min
6/25/2026, 8:57:10 PM4 trades$2121 min
6/4/2026, 5:30:19 AM9 trades$2074 min
5/15/2026, 7:17:43 AM2 trades$1990 min
6/9/2026, 3:41:55 AM2 trades$1950 min
5/17/2026, 5:43:25 AM2 trades$1940 min
6/24/2026, 10:58:29 PM4 trades$1830 min
6/26/2026, 8:03:22 PM2 trades$1760 min
6/25/2026, 11:55:20 PM4 trades$1751 min
7/24/2026, 7:52:21 PM2 trades$1710 min
6/10/2026, 4:32:49 AM3 trades$1640 min
4/26/2026, 11:37:58 PM2 trades$1450 min
6/27/2026, 1:02:01 AM2 trades$1380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-03
04-10
05-29
06-10
06-24
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.89/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.3 / M49.6 / H20.2