@elduganian

#1,778,12738

0xe60b80e09414189165da1222c59a7df6bb94634b

~26d· 270 markets · 580 tradesVol: $3,1962026-08-04 16:21:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (225/270)20/20
0.92x (win $204 / loss $221)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6660/15
Sortino -1.9390/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 82 (270 markets)10/10
15/26 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 1953% of peak ($38 / $2)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Win Streak
26 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,313,853$-9Vol: $3,196

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,196
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
270
total markets
Trades
279B / 301S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
225W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-9
Win Rate
83%
225W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (4.584295612009238% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Any Other Score?$18
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$13
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$9
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5$8
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?$7
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5$6
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$5
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?$4
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?$4
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?$4

Top Losers

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?$-29
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama?$-24
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$-22
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?$-21
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?$-17
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$-17
Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC: O/U 3.5$-15
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$-14
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?$-9
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
6.9
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule15 trades/day — very active6.9 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)5%
High (>55c)93.9%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 2:49:59 AM23 trades$1456 min
6/17/2026, 7:44:20 PM14 trades$1353 min
6/17/2026, 10:25:32 PM26 trades$1197 min
6/25/2026, 10:50:56 PM4 trades$1151 min
6/18/2026, 6:34:10 AM33 trades$988 min
6/17/2026, 7:28:14 AM17 trades$957 min
6/19/2026, 9:23:58 PM18 trades$8911 min
6/15/2026, 9:40:40 PM16 trades$824 min
6/20/2026, 10:32:11 PM26 trades$796 min
6/17/2026, 3:20:15 AM18 trades$753 min
6/27/2026, 7:56:08 PM21 trades$683 min
6/25/2026, 11:15:43 PM10 trades$652 min
6/22/2026, 8:46:41 PM16 trades$643 min
7/18/2026, 9:02:33 AM24 trades$646 min
6/18/2026, 1:31:17 AM15 trades$642 min
6/19/2026, 4:04:22 AM12 trades$631 min
6/26/2026, 11:00:46 PM19 trades$624 min
6/25/2026, 6:44:43 AM20 trades$613 min
6/13/2026, 12:04:28 AM14 trades$576 min
6/16/2026, 9:28:02 PM20 trades$565 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-16
06-20
06-25
06-29
07-06
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M5 / H93.9