@samlayer
#2,929,601400xe6139ad65fb33a4a11263b6e5b29729e531255e3
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
92% (168/183)20/20
0.27x (win $450 / loss $1,648)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7560/15
Sortino -2.7800/10
$-0.0425 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 276 (183 markets)10/10
75/87 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 1509% of peak ($1,484 / $98)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 92%
Consistent
75/87 profitable days
Win Streak
73 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#69,182$178Vol: $51,953
🎭 CULTURE#810,776$-1,001Vol: $13,384
🏛️ POLITICS#1,583,338$-325Vol: $8,827
💰 FINANCE#30,377$37Vol: $2,722
📈 ECONOMICS#85,724$2Vol: $1,774
⚽ SPORTS#314,442$6Vol: $205
💻 TECH#78,213$0Vol: $50
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,023
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,204
Total Redeem
$1,050
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
184
total markets
Trades
228B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,023
Vol: $80,204
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
92%
168W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-1,023
Win Rate
92%
168W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-127
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $252 (0.2465504258793847% of PnL)
Top Winners
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$137
Will Binance list $DEGEN in 2024?$87
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?$29
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$24
Biden stumbles by Friday?$24
Is $DJT real?$19
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$15
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$14
Will Trump show up for debate?$11
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?$10
Top Losers
Will Elon tweet 100+ times?$-751
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-311
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$-291
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$-201
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 4?$-50
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on August 28 at 4PM ET?$-10
Will Solana dip to $140 on August 18–24?$-10
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?$-10
Biden campaign accepts crypto donations in May?$-7
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4900 on August 28 at 4PM ET?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.143
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
277
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
25.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.7%
High (>55c)85.5%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 6:29:16 AM2 trades$1,6200 min
3/27/2026, 1:22:23 PM1 trades$1,0490 min
2/21/2026, 12:10:04 PM1 trades$1,0340 min
2/17/2026, 11:43:47 AM2 trades$1,0330 min
2/4/2026, 6:59:56 AM1 trades$1,0320 min
1/17/2026, 1:21:36 AM2 trades$1,0170 min
1/14/2026, 7:15:52 AM1 trades$1,0130 min
12/23/2025, 3:33:51 AM1 trades$9010 min
12/2/2025, 7:48:24 AM1 trades$8990 min
11/20/2025, 8:42:31 AM1 trades$8700 min
7/6/2026, 8:21:16 AM2 trades$8150 min
4/17/2026, 2:09:38 AM2 trades$8100 min
7/13/2024, 2:32:47 PM3 trades$7512 min
7/8/2024, 2:40:23 AM1 trades$7490 min
7/2/2024, 2:49:11 AM1 trades$7260 min
6/29/2024, 7:32:17 AM1 trades$7230 min
6/26/2024, 1:18:23 AM1 trades$7120 min
11/28/2025, 9:23:27 AM2 trades$6501 min
11/9/2025, 12:04:41 PM1 trades$5060 min
11/4/2025, 3:09:43 AM1 trades$5050 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
07-02
02-12
03-18
07-10
10-20
04-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 423 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.8 / M5.7 / H85.5