@always-sunny

#2,206,88917

0xe65c564c8cc541e69d219f3c7d6eafadfad852ca

~51d· 425 markets · 1111 tradesVol: $10,7342026-08-06 15:53:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (165/415)4.9/20
0.68x (win $1,010 / loss $1,497)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2310/15
Sortino -2.2830/10
$-0.1583 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 679 (415 markets)9.1/10
20/46 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 970% of peak ($660 / $68)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#718,110$-0Vol: $6,473
⚽ SPORTS#1,651,675$-81Vol: $3,692
💻 TECH#8,238$55Vol: $385
₿ CRYPTO#901,578$-2Vol: $110
📈 ECONOMICS#147,889$0Vol: $40
💰 FINANCE#480,392$-1Vol: $24
🌤️ WEATHER#197,849$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,734
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
425
total markets
Trades
552B / 559S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-30
Vol: $10,734

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
165W / 250L events
Realized PnL
$-30
Win Rate
40%
165W / 250L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $290 (9.729131746563864% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$106
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$104
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$80
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?$70
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 40% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?$31
Will SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$20
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?$14
Will FCSB vs. AFC Unirea Slobozia end in a draw?$14
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-23?$13
Will FC Metaloglobus București vs. FC Hermannstadt end in a draw?$10

Top Losers

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-279
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-223
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-153
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-51
Nothing Ever Happens: May$-38
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-18
CDT RealOruro vs. GV CD San José: O/U 3.5$-9
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?$-9
Will Reilac Shiga win on 2026-05-10?$-9
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-24?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
570
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.152
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
45.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 393s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active4.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.9%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)41.8%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 5:16:22 PM8 trades$8391 min
6/25/2026, 5:26:37 PM11 trades$7435 min
6/25/2026, 7:11:43 PM12 trades$5933 min
6/25/2026, 4:49:50 AM4 trades$1803 min
6/25/2026, 7:02:40 PM2 trades$1710 min
6/25/2026, 7:37:20 PM4 trades$1670 min
5/27/2026, 4:32:49 AM7 trades$1601 min
6/23/2026, 9:05:37 PM2 trades$1590 min
6/24/2026, 3:05:31 PM7 trades$1302 min
4/9/2026, 5:33:47 PM6 trades$1231 min
6/24/2026, 3:34:13 PM4 trades$1230 min
5/29/2026, 6:35:23 PM4 trades$1202 min
6/8/2026, 11:22:40 PM5 trades$1140 min
6/10/2026, 3:36:31 PM1 trades$1120 min
6/24/2026, 3:19:44 PM10 trades$1091 min
4/9/2026, 3:57:17 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/9/2026, 6:22:19 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/6/2026, 10:50:06 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/25/2026, 1:00:50 AM3 trades$950 min
6/25/2026, 1:25:14 AM2 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-08
05-08
05-19
05-29
06-10
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.9 / M43.3 / H41.8