@antikatar

#2,781,59429

0xe6684f124fe85b8627597404f59a428e2b447a6b

~85d· 195 markets · 461 tradesVol: $31,8832026-08-05 23:32:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (91/173)11.3/20
0.87x (win $1,673 / loss $1,917)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9560/15
Sortino -1.1740/10
$-0.0206 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 156 (173 markets)10/10
40/69 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 227% of peak ($555 / $245)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#82,585$60Vol: $21,467
SPORTS#1,712,405$-140Vol: $8,329
📈 ECONOMICS#16,263$62Vol: $1,190
🎭 CULTURE#763,791$-53Vol: $465
💰 FINANCE#635,745$-116Vol: $260
CRYPTO#1,488,902$-112Vol: $172

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-299
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,883
Total Redeem
$226
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
265B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $124
Week
$-105
Vol: $1,132
Month
$-108
Vol: $1,403
All Time
$-299
Vol: $31,883

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
90W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-299
Win Rate
52%
90W / 82L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $431 (1.4402351840716243% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$197
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$146
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$88
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$84
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$82
Nothing Ever Happens: January$71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$62
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$59
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-400
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-200
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$-120
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-112
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-100
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$-100
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-86
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$-75
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$-73
Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)$-62

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.050
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)64.9%

Sessions

#12
1/8/2026, 1:18:41 PM17 trades$1,4808 min
5/22/2026, 5:07:14 PM15 trades$1,1858 min
3/28/2026, 12:25:23 PM11 trades$1,0385 min
6/21/2026, 6:00:01 AM10 trades$6112 min
3/16/2026, 1:19:27 PM5 trades$5962 min
4/3/2026, 1:41:53 PM10 trades$4343 min
2/27/2026, 12:18:06 AM4 trades$4123 min
5/23/2026, 3:33:34 PM4 trades$4111 min
7/2/2026, 12:29:08 AM11 trades$3882 min
3/5/2026, 3:53:47 PM4 trades$3591 min
6/12/2026, 11:21:06 PM7 trades$3512 min
1/16/2026, 5:35:32 PM3 trades$3002 min
3/1/2026, 6:33:35 PM3 trades$3001 min
6/16/2026, 10:37:55 AM8 trades$2951 min
2/28/2026, 5:46:53 PM3 trades$2911 min
1/31/2026, 5:43:42 PM3 trades$2891 min
1/22/2026, 10:22:40 AM4 trades$2863 min
1/19/2026, 6:06:42 PM3 trades$2433 min
3/10/2026, 3:28:13 PM3 trades$2404 min
6/19/2026, 11:43:32 AM6 trades$2392 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
01-22
03-01
05-22
07-09
07-20
08-02
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 150 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.2 / M21.9 / H64.9