@4-testfollower-hm7

#193,63448

0xe6940b14e6652d9f2c6b774e3eb4b35ceeee7e7c

~164d· 471 markets · 6506 tradesVol: $132,2982026-08-06 08:41:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (163/358)7.8/20
1.39x (win $931 / loss $668)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.13515/15
Sortino 4.61710/10
$+0.0121 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 2531 (358 markets)0/10
50/107 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($139 / $263)3.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+160
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#131,016$21Vol: $106,516
📈 ECONOMICS#11,234$120Vol: $21,772
💰 FINANCE#561,729$-7Vol: $2,581
🎭 CULTURE#75,693$8Vol: $608
⚽ SPORTS#262,086$13Vol: $527
₿ CRYPTO#847,386$-1Vol: $214
🌤️ WEATHER#92,146$0Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$132,298
Total Redeem
$339
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
471
total markets
Trades
4283B / 2223S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~164d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $279
Week
$3
Vol: $2,309
Month
$-5
Vol: $2,407
All Time
$157
Vol: $132,298

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
163W / 195L events
Realized PnL
$160
Win Rate
46%
163W / 195L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $430 (2.6801995634549423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$307
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$77
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$43
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$36
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$26
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$22
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$18

Top Losers

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-136
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-67
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-47
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-40
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-32
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-31
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-21
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-18
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.111
Sortino
0.196
HHI
2669
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.4%
Top-5 markets
68.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.7m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 13.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)54.3%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 1:47:13 PM8 trades$8,8684 min
6/17/2026, 3:08:56 PM10 trades$1,5264 min
6/29/2026, 10:34:35 PM61 trades$5587 min
6/29/2026, 8:37:31 PM44 trades$4571 min
4/22/2026, 10:35:34 PM5 trades$4562 min
7/13/2026, 8:03:02 PM33 trades$45412 min
6/27/2026, 9:55:13 PM9 trades$4513 min
7/6/2026, 5:18:26 PM22 trades$40414 min
6/29/2026, 8:06:16 PM42 trades$3762 min
6/27/2026, 7:52:04 PM6 trades$3052 min
7/15/2026, 4:16:22 PM19 trades$3044 min
6/29/2026, 8:21:35 PM41 trades$2929 min
6/23/2026, 9:58:02 PM26 trades$2767 min
6/13/2026, 12:05:18 AM6 trades$2760 min
6/28/2026, 10:25:49 PM11 trades$2750 min
6/29/2026, 7:43:53 PM19 trades$2540 min
6/25/2026, 6:14:59 PM18 trades$2482 min
7/2/2026, 11:10:22 PM11 trades$2400 min
6/25/2026, 2:57:23 PM32 trades$2311 min
2/28/2026, 2:58:55 AM35 trades$2275 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
03-25
04-12
04-30
05-25
06-18
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.2 / M8.5 / H54.3