
@iced-matcha-latte
#164,563330xe699b501419b39d01bd975c3c5ab68241cdf8790
~146d· 158 markets · 695 tradesVol: $33,7502026-08-04 15:18:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (87/150)14/20
0.70x (win $1,448 / loss $2,079)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7270/15
Sortino -1.8760/10
$-0.0639 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 401 (150 markets)10/10
41/64 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 231% of peak ($1,118 / $483)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+228
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Consistent
41/64 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,572,241$-248Vol: $10,390
📢 MENTIONS#2,606$390Vol: $10,190
₿ CRYPTO#99,865$94Vol: $5,006
💰 FINANCE#18,365$98Vol: $3,890
🎭 CULTURE#735,583$-24Vol: $2,439
📈 ECONOMICS#631,802$-23Vol: $1,435
⚽ SPORTS#1,613,001$-58Vol: $180
💻 TECH#28,011$4Vol: $80
Overview
#1Net PnL
$228
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,750
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
515B / 180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
Month
$10
Vol: $0
All Time
$228
Vol: $33,750
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
87W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$228
Win Rate
58%
87W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-34
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $538 (2.364127332601537% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?$331
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (October 27 - November 2)$126
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$81
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$64
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" or "Uruguay" in November?$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$51
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?$41
Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?$34
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$32
Will Trump say "Rigged Election" this week? (February 15)$30
Top Losers
Kash Patel out by May 31?$-773
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$-127
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$-121
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$-91
Kash Patel out by April 30?$-75
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$-74
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-65
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$-46
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?$-35
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?$-33
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
25.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)31.5%
High (>55c)44.3%
Sessions
#121/21/2026, 2:38:38 PM10 trades$7195 min
4/27/2026, 9:10:44 PM2 trades$6000 min
1/21/2026, 2:59:50 PM2 trades$5131 min
2/7/2026, 5:03:09 AM1 trades$4730 min
2/6/2026, 9:14:21 PM1 trades$4540 min
3/18/2026, 2:39:15 PM48 trades$41370 min
11/13/2025, 10:55:30 AM2 trades$3940 min
2/7/2026, 5:20:53 AM1 trades$3690 min
5/10/2026, 7:22:25 PM7 trades$3690 min
2/6/2026, 9:06:53 PM1 trades$3590 min
4/26/2026, 11:37:06 PM11 trades$3263 min
11/28/2025, 12:04:15 AM9 trades$27313 min
5/16/2026, 11:53:05 AM5 trades$2580 min
1/7/2026, 4:32:35 AM3 trades$2521 min
2/13/2026, 10:14:35 PM1 trades$2160 min
11/25/2025, 5:50:23 PM3 trades$2003 min
1/21/2026, 5:17:14 PM2 trades$1992 min
11/23/2025, 1:39:43 AM1 trades$1980 min
5/20/2026, 1:46:56 PM2 trades$1920 min
5/10/2026, 6:20:35 PM11 trades$1864 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
07-26
11-14
12-27
01-30
03-02
05-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.3 / M31.5 / H44.3