@sugar-super

#3,045,22932

0xe6bf45da92f7d318f2d7ee28f6d5dd02038016b9

~52d· 283 markets · 1899 tradesVol: $2,025,3932026-08-04 14:07:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (163/280)14.1/20
0.83x (win $231,635 / loss $279,321)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1740/15
Sortino -2.4950/10
$-0.0671 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 175 (280 markets)10/10
26/43 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 494% of peak ($86,354 / $17,488)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$710,731 invested
Consistent
26/43 profitable days
High Roller
$6,834/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,872,906$-5,655Vol: $2,020,192
🏛️ POLITICS#44,755$199Vol: $5,019
₿ CRYPTO#1,230,431$-17Vol: $183

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,473
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,025,393
Total Redeem
$22
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
283
total markets
Trades
401B / 1498S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$208
Vol: $7,136
Week
$2,664
Vol: $95,672
Month
$5,962
Vol: $146,049
All Time
$-5,473
Vol: $2,025,393

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
161W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$-5,681
Win Rate
58%
161W / 116L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$1,421
Avg Loss
$-2,429

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40,535 (7.13521058829535% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$18,665
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$14,302
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$7,568
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$7,359
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$6,505
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5$5,942
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?$5,576
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$4,925
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$4,746
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-02?$4,622

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-30,271
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$-30,000
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-26,784
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$-22,787
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-21,185
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-20,000
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-10,366
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-07-21?$-10,030
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-9,548
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5$-9,160

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.104
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 657s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.66
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)70.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 9:05:34 PM48 trades$46,9093 min
6/26/2026, 8:35:53 PM13 trades$38,6093 min
6/23/2026, 3:12:01 AM24 trades$37,9784 min
6/22/2026, 7:03:32 PM6 trades$33,7012 min
6/26/2026, 9:08:20 PM4 trades$33,3010 min
6/21/2026, 5:01:20 PM2 trades$29,6160 min
6/20/2026, 1:32:31 AM21 trades$29,0766 min
6/23/2026, 4:28:58 PM22 trades$25,3012 min
7/6/2026, 3:11:19 PM33 trades$24,7340 min
7/18/2026, 5:41:09 PM5 trades$24,5140 min
6/23/2026, 2:44:11 AM12 trades$24,0440 min
6/23/2026, 4:54:29 AM19 trades$21,6642 min
6/27/2026, 3:25:13 AM19 trades$21,1792 min
6/22/2026, 12:27:08 AM19 trades$17,8621 min
6/23/2026, 7:32:59 PM2 trades$17,8570 min
6/19/2026, 9:43:13 PM10 trades$17,4621 min
6/26/2026, 3:58:47 PM10 trades$17,1180 min
6/21/2026, 7:37:59 PM15 trades$16,7141 min
7/17/2026, 1:44:57 PM16 trades$16,5213 min
6/22/2026, 1:25:17 PM9 trades$15,8270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
06-14
06-21
06-29
07-20
07-27
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.7 / M20 / H70.3