Gega-Mengar

@Gega-Mengar

#178,55888

0xe6dbfcd126f99a45d107cc2c38ceb28f642fa8f6

~40d· 37 markets · 347 tradesVol: $30,6042026-08-04 21:49:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (27/37)20/20
2.14x (win $2,785 / loss $1,304)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.14715/15
Sortino 9.74910/10
$+0.0791 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 840 (37 markets)8.3/10
22/28 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($928 / $2,200)5.6/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+189
DCA Master
Avg 11.6 entries/market
Consistent
22/28 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#38,903$32Vol: $8,967
🏛️ POLITICS#46,851$183Vol: $7,994
📈 ECONOMICS#20,337$40Vol: $5,958
SPORTS#1,645,064$-75Vol: $4,235
CRYPTO#83,007$120Vol: $2,574

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$189
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,604
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
184B / 163S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $222
Month
$-22
Vol: $322
All Time
$189
Vol: $30,604

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
27W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$189
Win Rate
73%
27W / 10L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-163

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,899 (10.030258224639594% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,608
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$170
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$121
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$70
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$70
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$59
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$56

Top Losers

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-347
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-288
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-223
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-154
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-141
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage$-103
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$-29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.162
Sortino
0.362
HHI
2261
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.050
Kelly %
31.1%
Half-Kelly
15.6%
Top-1 market
30.3%
Top-5 markets
92.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 676s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)95.1%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 5:59:32 PM7 trades$1,5338 min
5/1/2026, 10:00:24 PM3 trades$1,2313 min
5/4/2026, 6:49:50 PM4 trades$1,2301 min
6/18/2026, 8:24:37 PM49 trades$1,04517 min
4/28/2026, 10:41:58 AM5 trades$1,0110 min
6/1/2026, 4:30:51 AM3 trades$9270 min
5/11/2026, 11:49:53 AM2 trades$8024 min
5/8/2026, 11:16:34 PM1 trades$7900 min
5/11/2026, 3:25:46 AM2 trades$7745 min
5/12/2026, 9:16:38 AM1 trades$7530 min
5/14/2026, 8:28:10 PM3 trades$7520 min
5/8/2026, 8:20:43 PM1 trades$6060 min
5/4/2026, 7:02:24 PM2 trades$6011 min
4/30/2026, 10:11:42 PM1 trades$5830 min
5/1/2026, 8:17:00 PM6 trades$5751 min
4/27/2026, 3:04:56 PM4 trades$5744 min
4/17/2026, 5:54:32 PM4 trades$5730 min
4/28/2026, 12:04:50 AM1 trades$5720 min
6/2/2026, 7:36:41 AM5 trades$5660 min
7/9/2026, 9:40:53 PM3 trades$5510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-01
05-12
05-27
06-06
06-14
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M3.8 / H95.1