@alexbita

#23,68971

0xe7123a5454f9be0a197d5909d2720a4d473c9a10

~139d· 1297 markets · 7975 tradesVol: $238,0092026-08-04 23:01:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (671/1297)10.9/20
1.27x (win $14,147 / loss $11,125)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.55915/15
Sortino 9.42610/10
$+0.0756 per $1 invested3.8/10
HHI 25 (1297 markets)10/10
71/137 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($471 / $3,136)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+5,428
DCA Master
Avg 6.2 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#387$5,300Vol: $215,118
SPORTS#170,652$47Vol: $17,167
CRYPTO#111,666$70Vol: $1,731
🎭 CULTURE#686,287$-10Vol: $745
📢 MENTIONS#153,935$-41Vol: $136
🏛️ POLITICS#1,275,344$-10Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,428
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$238,009
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1297
total markets
Trades
3968B / 4007S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$103
Vol: $961
Week
$132
Vol: $3,144
Month
$22
Vol: $5,444
All Time
$5,428
Vol: $238,009

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
670W / 626L events
Realized PnL
$5,428
Win Rate
52%
670W / 626L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $886 (0.1631797004961028% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?$349
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on April 3?$280
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?$256
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6?$195
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?$174
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?$171
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?$170
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 4?$168
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?$167
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?$157

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$-353
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 7?$-163
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$-160
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?$-155
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?$-153
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11?$-150
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?$-140
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?$-131
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 20?$-131
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 16?$-104

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.238
Sortino
0.432
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.1
Active
Markets / Day
6.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency6.5 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.17
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)55.1%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 3:40:08 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/1/2026, 4:06:27 PM35 trades$4887 min
6/13/2026, 4:31:22 AM60 trades$40138 min
6/12/2026, 3:20:57 PM10 trades$3634 min
8/4/2026, 12:29:06 PM25 trades$3489 min
7/23/2026, 7:28:21 AM36 trades$3336 min
6/13/2026, 6:46:34 AM50 trades$33011 min
6/10/2026, 4:39:42 AM21 trades$32618 min
5/12/2026, 6:50:37 AM24 trades$3096 min
6/17/2026, 2:13:31 PM10 trades$3074 min
5/6/2026, 5:47:48 AM12 trades$3021 min
6/13/2026, 1:57:46 PM32 trades$2994 min
6/20/2026, 5:41:38 AM11 trades$2971 min
6/14/2026, 11:23:46 AM29 trades$2927 min
6/21/2026, 2:32:16 PM5 trades$2904 min
5/11/2026, 2:21:37 PM17 trades$2866 min
5/8/2026, 8:07:11 AM28 trades$2837 min
6/13/2026, 2:28:09 PM30 trades$26612 min
7/16/2026, 3:19:23 PM5 trades$2651 min
6/12/2026, 2:11:45 PM34 trades$26519 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
02-11
03-13
04-24
06-02
06-25
07-30
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M23.3 / H55.1