@oldcai
#2,887,464810xe76bf07ace13117de33a1433dcddd16b5053ad7f
~35d· 148 markets · 1182 tradesVol: $53,8672026-08-04 19:18:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
70% (104/148)20/20
1.75x (win $1,754 / loss $1,004)11.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.98115/15
Sortino 4.79210/10
$+0.0924 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 251 (148 markets)10/10
29/35 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($538 / $750)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 8.2 entries/market
Consistent
29/35 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#70,173$173Vol: $24,912
🌤️ WEATHER#296,978$-836Vol: $21,990
💻 TECH#238,468$-26Vol: $6,965
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-689
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,867
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
695B / 487S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $40
Week
$4
Vol: $812
Month
$-68
Vol: $1,396
All Time
$-689
Vol: $53,867
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
70%
104W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-689
Win Rate
70%
104W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-29
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $438 (0.6359191608513354% of PnL)
Top Winners
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$152
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?$143
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?$143
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$139
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20?$79
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$57
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 20?$42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?$40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$34
Top Losers
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$-257
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?$-96
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 24?$-86
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?$-78
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?$-76
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 24?$-68
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?$-66
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?$-54
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 23?$-29
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-24
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.205
Sortino
0.112
HHI
374
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
36.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
27.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.9m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 163s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency3.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.7%
Mid (20-55c)3.9%
High (>55c)84.5%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 8:17:59 AM32 trades$1,0153 min
6/22/2026, 8:05:02 AM9 trades$37510 min
6/20/2026, 8:18:58 AM12 trades$3123 min
7/18/2026, 9:45:40 AM2 trades$2892 min
6/21/2026, 3:29:59 AM66 trades$28123 min
7/6/2026, 1:39:56 AM7 trades$2713 min
7/5/2026, 10:11:46 PM7 trades$2589 min
6/22/2026, 7:38:13 AM4 trades$2241 min
6/22/2026, 7:54:05 AM5 trades$1830 min
7/5/2026, 10:27:23 PM5 trades$1731 min
7/10/2026, 3:30:52 AM4 trades$1620 min
7/6/2026, 1:48:29 AM5 trades$1612 min
7/16/2026, 5:33:16 AM1 trades$1610 min
7/6/2026, 12:03:56 AM3 trades$1471 min
7/11/2026, 1:02:16 PM7 trades$1390 min
6/21/2026, 3:11:37 AM32 trades$13913 min
7/6/2026, 4:14:22 AM16 trades$1099 min
7/5/2026, 11:39:59 PM6 trades$10815 min
7/8/2026, 5:19:40 AM1 trades$990 min
6/22/2026, 5:41:59 AM3 trades$990 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-24
06-30
07-07
07-12
07-19
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.7 / M3.9 / H84.5