@reluctor

#258,57761

0xe77cf96fb47969f5bb9b7d3f52ab818cf25df2be

~43d· 114 markets · 729 tradesVol: $71,7812026-08-04 16:19:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (21/102)0/20
1.50x (win $6,932 / loss $4,607)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.10115/15
Sortino 8.81510/10
$+0.1709 per $1 invested8.5/10
HHI 335 (102 markets)10/10
11/34 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($732 / $2,325)7.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+85
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,785,630$-414Vol: $31,581
CRYPTO#50,031$358Vol: $19,963
🏛️ POLITICS#1,352,277$-17Vol: $11,621
📈 ECONOMICS#12,538$99Vol: $4,092
💻 TECH#211,950$-4Vol: $3,367
🎭 CULTURE#103,894$4Vol: $704
💰 FINANCE#24,196$59Vol: $454

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$85
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,781
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
190B / 539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-18
Vol: $1,872
Month
$-41
Vol: $1,872
All Time
$85
Vol: $71,781

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
22W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$85
Win Rate
22%
22W / 80L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$330
Avg Loss
$-73

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,840 (33.39271017048795% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,197
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?$890
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$753
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$675
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$642
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?$580
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$301
Nothing Ever Happens: May$291
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$286
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$229

Top Losers

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-1,000
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?$-610
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-281
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-200
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$-198
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$-175
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-123
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-120
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-112
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4?$-109

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.211
Sortino
0.474
HHI
612
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.157
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
45.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1221s — normal for humanCV 2.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.94
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.1%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)27.9%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 12:10:20 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/3/2026, 3:41:29 PM6 trades$3,0960 min
6/13/2026, 6:43:46 PM4 trades$1,7660 min
7/15/2026, 2:34:07 PM18 trades$1,5295 min
7/29/2026, 11:02:29 AM16 trades$1,1076 min
7/30/2026, 9:07:21 AM14 trades$1,0450 min
6/8/2026, 2:23:27 AM5 trades$1,0071 min
6/11/2026, 10:13:51 AM11 trades$9661 min
8/2/2026, 7:19:38 PM7 trades$9190 min
6/4/2026, 2:09:04 PM4 trades$9113 min
6/8/2026, 2:43:19 PM10 trades$9095 min
6/8/2026, 6:30:40 PM34 trades$90815 min
6/20/2026, 7:58:38 AM4 trades$8641 min
5/28/2026, 1:35:37 PM4 trades$8100 min
6/5/2026, 9:47:57 AM9 trades$7612 min
6/14/2026, 2:33:52 AM4 trades$7410 min
7/29/2026, 8:29:11 PM6 trades$7270 min
6/4/2026, 4:14:43 PM8 trades$6885 min
6/7/2026, 4:48:06 PM7 trades$6821 min
6/5/2026, 2:18:43 PM3 trades$6620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-02
06-08
06-13
06-21
07-02
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.94/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.1 / M11.1 / H27.9