MaxNarvesen

@MaxNarvesen

#2,563,60017

0xe785e7859fc65daf877ade1074b992a62b74e267

~22d· 71 markets · 124 tradesVol: $5,6432026-08-04 22:39:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (26/65)5/20
0.65x (win $350 / loss $535)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1590/15
Sortino -6.1550/10
$-0.1708 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 896 (65 markets)8/10
9/20 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 1479% of peak ($285 / $19)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,563,724$-41Vol: $3,022
CRYPTO#343,776$3Vol: $1,365
🏛️ POLITICS#1,470,652$-52Vol: $615
💰 FINANCE#74,723$5Vol: $382
🎭 CULTURE#733,571$-24Vol: $229
📢 MENTIONS#26,632$5Vol: $17
🌤️ WEATHER#44,172$2Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-103
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,643
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
88B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-103
Vol: $5,643

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
26W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-103
Win Rate
40%
26W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (2.0461943280382027% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$64
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$45
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?$25
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$20
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$9
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$9
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$9
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$8

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-60
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-40
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$-40
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$-30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-30
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$-25
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-22
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$-20
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.263
Sortino
-0.433
HHI
925
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.4%
Top-5 markets
46.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 194s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.05
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.7%
Mid (20-55c)46.6%
High (>55c)30.7%

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 10:32:51 PM7 trades$23611 min
6/30/2026, 8:18:29 AM8 trades$1702 min
7/19/2026, 9:52:45 PM5 trades$1531 min
6/14/2026, 8:44:09 AM8 trades$1023 min
7/19/2026, 9:31:24 PM2 trades$730 min
3/14/2026, 7:50:15 AM4 trades$665 min
5/2/2026, 8:38:04 PM5 trades$650 min
2/28/2026, 10:50:33 AM3 trades$601 min
2/3/2026, 10:26:36 PM1 trades$500 min
2/15/2026, 9:58:33 PM3 trades$505 min
2/22/2026, 8:20:14 PM4 trades$407 min
3/8/2026, 3:58:55 AM2 trades$351 min
7/19/2026, 9:37:22 PM3 trades$340 min
7/5/2026, 8:55:20 PM2 trades$310 min
2/19/2026, 7:27:16 PM1 trades$300 min
2/3/2026, 10:15:00 PM3 trades$281 min
1/17/2026, 12:17:38 AM3 trades$272 min
7/19/2026, 9:43:25 PM2 trades$270 min
2/15/2026, 10:09:21 PM5 trades$278 min
1/6/2026, 8:10:31 AM2 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-10
01-17
02-19
03-07
05-02
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 136 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.05/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.7 / M46.6 / H30.7