@0xe81138…8521

6

0xe811382d16b0a0321418d3fe7884263b4b4677e5

~74d· 83 markets · 920 trades2026-08-05 15:50:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (23/64)3/20
0.38x (win $203 / loss $541)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3050/15
Sortino -6.1310/10
$-0.1971 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2033 (64 markets)2.3/10
9/29 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 112667% of peak ($338 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🎭 CULTURE#695,554$-11Vol: $1,780

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,713
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
442B / 478S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
23W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-254
Win Rate
36%
23W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $103 (0.4059098589335534% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$60
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$23
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$19
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$13
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$8
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$7
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$6
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?$4

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-168
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?$-48
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-29
Anthropic CEO arrested?$-26
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$-24
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-24
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?$-23
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-20
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.324
Sortino
-0.294
HHI
1064
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.191
Kelly %
8.7%
Half-Kelly
4.3%
Top-1 market
22.4%
Top-5 markets
63%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 418s — normal for humanCV 3.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.88
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)48.6%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 6:26:17 AM14 trades$1,7015 min
4/18/2026, 8:15:54 AM14 trades$8924 min
6/23/2026, 5:57:41 AM3 trades$7090 min
6/27/2026, 4:54:05 PM6 trades$2574 min
6/27/2026, 6:18:17 PM2 trades$1990 min
5/16/2026, 7:42:40 AM28 trades$19414 min
5/16/2026, 5:34:55 AM6 trades$1330 min
6/12/2026, 6:52:03 AM5 trades$1282 min
5/12/2026, 12:49:34 AM3 trades$1230 min
4/18/2026, 7:18:38 AM11 trades$1214 min
7/9/2026, 9:11:56 AM24 trades$1121 min
5/9/2026, 1:51:40 AM6 trades$1041 min
4/28/2026, 3:25:48 AM4 trades$1000 min
7/6/2026, 9:13:40 AM2 trades$870 min
5/26/2026, 11:41:21 AM4 trades$871 min
6/19/2026, 2:12:26 PM4 trades$831 min
4/24/2026, 8:39:28 AM10 trades$800 min
5/16/2026, 7:20:42 AM9 trades$752 min
5/16/2026, 6:59:16 AM4 trades$650 min
6/23/2026, 6:28:50 AM8 trades$581 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
01-31
03-18
05-08
05-26
06-19
06-26
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 162 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.2 / M13.1 / H48.6