@nicdan

#34,96173

0xe8411a41f6d2f0c612c1cd0075ba7a5cd11d1b59

~179d· 212 markets · 979 tradesVol: $392,1402026-08-04 19:00:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (185/204)20/20
1.43x (win $10,311 / loss $7,209)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04115/15
Sortino 1.13710/10
$+0.0104 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 94 (204 markets)10/10
112/124 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($4,535 / $6,037)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+3,340
Whale
$298,827 invested
Consistent
112/124 profitable days
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#24,981$580Vol: $214,279
📈 ECONOMICS#1,988$1,974Vol: $84,118
SPORTS#55,218$529Vol: $66,690
🎭 CULTURE#12,255$248Vol: $12,722
💻 TECH#11,157$29Vol: $10,646
💰 FINANCE#31,258$34Vol: $3,278
🌤️ WEATHER#276,831$-52Vol: $404
CRYPTO#859,872$-1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,340
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$392,140
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
212
total markets
Trades
433B / 546S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~179d

Periods

#2
Today
$-33
Vol: $0
Week
$14
Vol: $1,208
Month
$17
Vol: $2,022
All Time
$3,340
Vol: $392,140

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
185W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$3,340
Win Rate
91%
185W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-451

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,383 (0.7132516053706948% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$1,748
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$326
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$309
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$296
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$290
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$243
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$209
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$194
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$187
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$181

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-3,977
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-2,463
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-200
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?$-120
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$-100
Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?$-91
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?$-75

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.018
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 461s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)96.5%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 6:49:35 PM6 trades$6,96910 min
8/17/2025, 7:08:38 AM6 trades$6,2872 min
1/27/2026, 5:09:17 PM2 trades$6,2421 min
6/30/2025, 3:52:47 PM2 trades$5,9080 min
1/30/2026, 7:45:44 AM3 trades$4,3332 min
1/23/2026, 6:52:34 AM2 trades$4,0772 min
1/20/2026, 6:54:48 AM2 trades$4,0741 min
8/24/2025, 6:13:11 AM1 trades$4,0000 min
8/16/2025, 6:13:42 AM1 trades$3,8870 min
6/14/2026, 7:45:34 PM12 trades$3,7721 min
6/10/2026, 2:49:40 PM31 trades$3,7537 min
3/15/2026, 6:17:17 PM4 trades$3,7093 min
10/9/2025, 4:40:36 PM1 trades$3,6000 min
4/27/2026, 5:43:46 AM28 trades$3,4542 min
5/25/2025, 1:45:59 PM5 trades$3,3835 min
7/28/2026, 4:28:22 PM10 trades$3,1171 min
5/5/2026, 11:11:40 AM7 trades$3,1074 min
12/8/2025, 3:51:47 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
1/29/2026, 6:49:46 AM1 trades$3,0000 min
2/5/2026, 4:39:53 PM1 trades$3,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
06-01
08-15
10-25
01-08
04-01
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M2.5 / H96.5