@gugee8

#1,740,72860

0xe8836988a2ff5846593fac0d0ca1be9499cf3644

~59d· 114 markets · 282 tradesVol: $31,3582026-08-06 15:54:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (57/108)11.4/20
1.53x (win $164 / loss $107)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.45815/15
Sortino 3.00610/10
$+0.0044 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 2305 (108 markets)1/10
35/48 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($57 / $104)3.1/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Consistent
35/48 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,571,137$-43Vol: $10,515
🎭 CULTURE#613,938$-3Vol: $7,121
📈 ECONOMICS#64,564$4Vol: $4,476
💰 FINANCE#61,877$8Vol: $2,142
📢 MENTIONS#116,447$-5Vol: $2,090
🏛️ POLITICS#1,194,839$-6Vol: $2,024
🌤️ WEATHER#161,023$-0Vol: $1,196
₿ CRYPTO#151,997$32Vol: $1,071
💻 TECH#22,192$6Vol: $673

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,358
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
206B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8
Vol: $31,358

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
57W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
53%
57W / 51L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52 (6.8123359580052485% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$15
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$14
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?$11
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$9
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$7
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$7
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$5
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?$4
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$4

Top Losers

Will Ryan Fox finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$-48
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-11
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?$-11
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-10
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-4
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?$-3
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-2
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$-2
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$-1
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.127
Sortino
0.087
HHI
1956
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
43.6%
Half-Kelly
21.8%
Top-1 market
33.3%
Top-5 markets
77.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1287s — normal for humanCV 5.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)65%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2025, 12:17:01 PM4 trades$6,7259 min
1/22/2025, 12:15:25 AM5 trades$6,5108 min
1/21/2025, 11:57:59 PM3 trades$6,4985 min
6/11/2026, 10:25:48 AM6 trades$1588 min
2/6/2025, 5:09:15 AM2 trades$1500 min
6/11/2026, 11:22:37 AM3 trades$1502 min
6/11/2026, 3:01:01 PM7 trades$1508 min
6/11/2026, 2:45:19 PM4 trades$1494 min
7/26/2026, 2:03:04 AM6 trades$1390 min
11/29/2025, 2:14:35 PM3 trades$1031 min
10/19/2025, 11:58:43 AM2 trades$1000 min
9/27/2025, 8:24:14 PM2 trades$990 min
8/13/2025, 9:51:19 AM1 trades$980 min
7/17/2025, 3:20:56 PM2 trades$980 min
6/27/2026, 2:35:28 AM7 trades$970 min
6/17/2025, 7:57:33 AM1 trades$970 min
5/24/2025, 9:01:21 AM1 trades$960 min
4/24/2025, 4:25:30 AM1 trades$920 min
7/25/2026, 8:27:30 AM5 trades$910 min
4/1/2025, 12:06:27 PM1 trades$880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
06-17
01-08
03-01
04-13
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.5 / M1.5 / H65