@givrup

#2,261,15735

0xe8cef5340fc4787b89ac1b390f8818737cc12232

~44d· 90 markets · 176 tradesVol: $28,1962026-08-04 18:55:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (51/86)14.7/20
0.88x (win $99 / loss $112)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9200/15
Sortino -1.0860/10
$-0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 603 (86 markets)9.5/10
28/40 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 1651% of peak ($51 / $3)0/10

Badges

2
Consistent
28/40 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,340,003$-34Vol: $22,389
🏛️ POLITICS#1,255,975$-9Vol: $4,497
💰 FINANCE#70,333$6Vol: $969
📈 ECONOMICS#476,474$-1Vol: $250
🎭 CULTURE#101,020$4Vol: $59
💻 TECH#205,631$-2Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-36
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,196
Total Redeem
$2,774
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
104B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $531
Week
$1
Vol: $531
Month
$0
Vol: $531
All Time
$-36
Vol: $28,196

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
51W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-36
Win Rate
59%
51W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41 (1.128846153846154% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$19
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$8
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 7?$8
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 2?$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?$3
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$3
Solana Up or Down on November 30?$3
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$2
Solana Up or Down on October 8?$2

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?$-10
Ethereum Up or Down on January 7?$-10
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$-10
Ethereum Up or Down on November 19?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?$-6
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$-5
Ethereum Up or Down on October 16?$-5
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
453
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
31.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
90%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)90% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)79.8%

Sessions

#12
10/8/2025, 2:43:04 AM5 trades$1,8032 min
10/13/2025, 1:00:33 AM22 trades$1,15419 min
8/4/2026, 12:13:23 AM2 trades$1,0600 min
6/7/2026, 12:57:45 AM9 trades$1,0495 min
6/19/2026, 1:40:25 AM6 trades$9702 min
5/20/2026, 1:01:05 AM4 trades$9561 min
5/17/2026, 1:50:26 AM6 trades$8101 min
1/7/2026, 12:04:41 AM3 trades$5821 min
3/14/2026, 12:08:41 AM2 trades$5621 min
3/7/2026, 12:55:37 AM1 trades$5610 min
12/25/2025, 2:43:55 AM4 trades$5594 min
2/8/2026, 1:14:43 AM4 trades$5581 min
3/15/2026, 12:45:45 AM4 trades$5532 min
5/3/2026, 12:22:38 AM7 trades$5511 min
4/26/2026, 12:44:08 AM4 trades$5490 min
3/3/2026, 1:05:35 AM1 trades$5480 min
3/26/2026, 1:47:59 AM1 trades$5450 min
3/19/2026, 1:06:13 AM1 trades$5440 min
11/30/2025, 9:46:02 PM1 trades$5440 min
11/22/2025, 5:10:59 AM1 trades$5410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-07
12-06
01-25
03-15
05-15
06-07
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M12.5 / H79.8