@CescFabregas

#346,20024

0xe91edcd0df134048bd81e66a365f167ed2329ea8

~36d· 100 markets · 2277 tradesVol: $125,4632026-08-04 23:11:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (47/98)9/20
0.77x (win $5,841 / loss $7,613)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9340/15
Sortino -2.3910/10
$-0.0713 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 289 (98 markets)10/10
17/35 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 108673% of peak ($2,119 / $2)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+38
DCA Master
Avg 23.1 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,690,961$-111Vol: $15,137

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$125,463
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
1367B / 910S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $200
Week
$-6
Vol: $549
Month
$-2
Vol: $549
All Time
$38
Vol: $125,463

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
47W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$38
Win Rate
48%
47W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$124
Avg Loss
$-159

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,691 (71.06944811196199% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner$1,703
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$554
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$435
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$389
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B$351
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$272
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$204
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$190
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$174
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$135

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage$-1,041
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner$-812
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-713
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-659
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner$-468
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner$-452
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner$-390
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner$-304
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner$-282
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$-271

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.104
HHI
288
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.073
Kelly %
9.9%
Half-Kelly
4.9%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
27.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule36 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 10:26:05 PM80 trades$2,24840 min
6/16/2026, 1:48:28 PM80 trades$1,57930 min
6/19/2026, 1:17:22 PM34 trades$1,24214 min
6/19/2026, 9:26:43 PM49 trades$1,18823 min
7/11/2026, 6:12:11 PM90 trades$1,13741 min
6/23/2026, 12:26:05 PM48 trades$1,12319 min
7/6/2026, 9:06:22 PM62 trades$1,11824 min
6/20/2026, 2:59:25 PM44 trades$1,11214 min
6/19/2026, 5:15:01 PM36 trades$1,10622 min
6/19/2026, 8:52:52 PM70 trades$1,04228 min
6/19/2026, 8:07:20 PM46 trades$99516 min
6/18/2026, 5:28:08 PM52 trades$97439 min
7/5/2026, 1:02:43 PM70 trades$83434 min
6/20/2026, 9:12:44 PM23 trades$81013 min
6/19/2026, 7:52:23 PM26 trades$7839 min
6/17/2026, 11:57:19 AM36 trades$7779 min
6/16/2026, 6:52:17 PM32 trades$76320 min
6/11/2026, 1:50:24 PM4 trades$7100 min
6/27/2026, 1:26:28 PM40 trades$6898 min
6/18/2026, 4:28:34 PM32 trades$64413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-10
06-18
06-27
07-08
07-15
07-27
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M20.8 / H72.3