@pauljohnso

#2,688,88822

0xe9e70f34918c3eee762e436f50d5665b12383491

~159d· 1525 markets · 3024 tradesVol: $14,444 @nekoikishu2026-08-04 22:11:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (678/1523)7.3/20
0.92x (win $1,886 / loss $2,057)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7880/15
Sortino -1.3580/10
$-0.0496 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 196 (1523 markets)10/10
66/159 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 201% of peak ($347 / $173)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,730,465$-179Vol: $14,417

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-182
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,444
Total Redeem
$188
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1525
total markets
Trades
1701B / 1323S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~159d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $15
Week
$6
Vol: $51
Month
$1
Vol: $59
All Time
$-182
Vol: $14,444

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
677W / 845L events
Realized PnL
$-182
Win Rate
44%
677W / 845L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $343 (1.8827408099346117% of PnL)

Top Winners

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$251
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$66
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score$25
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5$18
Rangers FC vs. Dundee United FC: Both Teams to Score$18
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score$17
Exact Score: FC København 2 - 1 FK Polissia?$15
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$13
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score$13
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$13

Top Losers

Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 0.5$-200
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?$-37
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-32
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5$-27
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$-21
Zaglebie Lubin vs. GKS Piast Gliwice: Both Teams to Score$-21
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23?$-20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-20
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5$-16
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-23?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
268
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
23.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 233s — normal for humanCV 4.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active6.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.99
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)62%
High (>55c)31.5%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 6:19:58 PM2 trades$6550 min
6/20/2026, 3:38:20 PM2 trades$3310 min
6/27/2026, 12:54:49 PM8 trades$1422 min
7/9/2026, 11:08:05 AM46 trades$11722 min
7/10/2026, 1:14:58 PM4 trades$922 min
6/8/2026, 7:06:37 AM4 trades$912 min
4/2/2026, 3:49:33 AM4 trades$910 min
4/7/2026, 11:32:55 AM25 trades$826 min
12/15/2025, 5:33:01 PM2 trades$765 min
12/15/2025, 8:10:11 PM3 trades$613 min
4/2/2026, 2:05:05 AM4 trades$570 min
4/5/2026, 3:43:17 PM6 trades$562 min
12/18/2025, 7:21:57 PM1 trades$550 min
7/29/2026, 4:55:53 PM14 trades$555 min
4/2/2026, 1:22:17 AM4 trades$521 min
7/30/2026, 3:32:12 PM18 trades$529 min
7/15/2026, 8:53:20 PM2 trades$500 min
7/23/2026, 11:50:25 AM10 trades$498 min
7/10/2026, 1:03:05 PM6 trades$466 min
7/29/2026, 11:55:51 AM17 trades$454 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
02-12
03-18
04-13
06-11
07-07
08-02
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.99/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.5 / M62 / H31.5