sifakatrade

@sifakatrade

#185,87180

0xea5491e39334ec3f71d93dfd8355f16865e5b3dd

~50d· 62 markets · 449 tradesVol: $20,1992026-08-04 19:42:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (15/25)15/20
11.82x (win $1,281 / loss $108)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.66715/15
Sortino 81.93610/10
$+0.0968 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 2043 (25 markets)2.3/10
12/20 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($96 / $1,172)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+172
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#103,691$37Vol: $15,331
📈 ECONOMICS#8,444$194Vol: $4,219
💰 FINANCE#621,549$-57Vol: $645
💻 TECH#194,745$-1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$172
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,199
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
145B / 304S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-86
Vol: $709
Week
$-60
Vol: $1,978
Month
$-57
Vol: $3,397
All Time
$172
Vol: $20,199

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
14W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$172
Win Rate
58%
14W / 10L
Profit Factor
11.82x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,065 (6.174986954252914% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$681
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$241
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$143
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$138
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$29
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$16
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$8
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$7
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$-49
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-20
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-10
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?$-8
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-5
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.340
Sortino
2.791
HHI
360
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.252
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
34.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.2h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14689s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)81.4%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 10:16:23 PM4 trades$1,4170 min
7/21/2026, 4:11:58 PM2 trades$8390 min
7/21/2026, 4:26:42 PM4 trades$8340 min
7/14/2026, 4:26:31 PM2 trades$8330 min
7/16/2026, 4:10:55 PM3 trades$8000 min
7/8/2026, 2:01:20 PM7 trades$5440 min
8/3/2026, 12:02:17 AM3 trades$5300 min
7/9/2026, 5:25:19 AM10 trades$5230 min
8/2/2026, 6:07:36 AM2 trades$5010 min
7/8/2026, 6:48:22 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/11/2026, 12:13:34 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/12/2026, 12:00:59 AM7 trades$4930 min
7/21/2026, 9:09:39 PM3 trades$4790 min
7/31/2026, 11:10:12 PM7 trades$4620 min
7/20/2026, 5:55:04 AM6 trades$4610 min
8/2/2026, 3:58:45 AM7 trades$4530 min
7/21/2026, 1:18:46 AM5 trades$4350 min
8/4/2026, 5:18:00 AM4 trades$4120 min
8/4/2026, 2:41:36 PM5 trades$4070 min
7/26/2026, 10:48:10 PM5 trades$4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
05-14
05-21
05-30
07-09
07-19
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 214 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.7 / M17.9 / H81.4