Rafaelh7

@Rafaelh7

#105,8167

0xeac66ebb505a871ca565ffd7d9a33e47a25b6cf8

~83d· 169 markets · 674 tradesVol: $78,0222026-08-03 17:06:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (63/167)3.9/20
0.87x (win $2,435 / loss $2,785)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2760/15
Sortino -1.7270/10
$-0.0723 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2802 (167 markets)0/10
24/60 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 523% of peak ($1,266 / $242)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+607
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,457,801$-94Vol: $44,999
SPORTS#40,153$919Vol: $28,354
🏛️ POLITICS#99,660$40Vol: $961
📈 ECONOMICS#655,725$-81Vol: $744
🎭 CULTURE#228,958$0Vol: $295

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$607
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,022
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
446B / 228S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $350
Month
$212
Vol: $350
All Time
$607
Vol: $78,022

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
63W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$607
Win Rate
38%
63W / 104L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $919 (1.513359470233585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$666
SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5$130
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$123
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5$122
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$112
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)$95
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$73
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)$70
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$70
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?$53

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-528
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$-257
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-165
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-156
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-91
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?$-84
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$-72
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-71
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$-69
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
313
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
33.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 378s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)27.8%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 9:19:50 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/15/2026, 9:34:38 PM4 trades$8650 min
6/5/2026, 3:16:36 PM6 trades$5211 min
6/5/2026, 2:18:07 PM5 trades$5120 min
6/5/2026, 5:50:30 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/18/2026, 7:11:21 PM3 trades$3285 min
7/10/2026, 8:51:58 PM4 trades$2250 min
6/25/2026, 2:09:41 AM5 trades$1590 min
8/2/2026, 7:59:15 PM6 trades$1577 min
7/13/2026, 8:24:56 PM1 trades$1560 min
6/19/2026, 1:23:35 AM9 trades$14512 min
6/9/2026, 2:48:19 PM12 trades$1438 min
7/13/2025, 7:13:00 AM1 trades$1420 min
6/11/2026, 4:40:43 PM34 trades$14015 min
6/26/2026, 12:41:47 AM4 trades$1364 min
6/15/2026, 6:06:49 PM2 trades$1220 min
7/9/2026, 8:05:32 PM4 trades$1125 min
7/22/2026, 11:14:46 PM7 trades$1120 min
6/18/2026, 6:34:05 PM10 trades$1001 min
6/19/2026, 2:00:50 AM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
07-10
09-13
06-05
06-19
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 347 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46 / M26.2 / H27.8