@0xead1…3233

#2,298,1921

0xead160455279a08cbe0d45089d444ed2788d3233

~38d· 50 markets · 117 tradesVol: $20,7522026-08-05 16:38:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (14/44)0.9/20
0.62x (win $165 / loss $266)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0020/15
Sortino -4.3790/10
$-0.1892 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8341 (44 markets)0/10
10/31 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 541% of peak ($128 / $24)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,418,146$-29Vol: $18,541
⚽ SPORTS#1,195,021$-5Vol: $1,380
📈 ECONOMICS#562,207$-4Vol: $619
💰 FINANCE#89,231$3Vol: $144
🎭 CULTURE#631,721$-4Vol: $64
₿ CRYPTO#930,566$-2Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-41
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,752
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
65B / 52S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $278
Month
$-9
Vol: $278
All Time
$-41
Vol: $20,752

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
14W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-41
Win Rate
32%
14W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $140 (3.386100386100386% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$24
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$5
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?$4
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$4
Will the US strike Iran next?$3
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$2
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?$2
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-33
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$-30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-30
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-24
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$-10
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$-10
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.155
Sortino
-0.264
HHI
928
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.159
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
55.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)26.2%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 9:20:14 AM4 trades$14,9501 min
8/2/2026, 7:30:59 PM5 trades$2561 min
6/27/2026, 6:06:13 AM5 trades$1380 min
5/17/2026, 6:28:38 AM2 trades$920 min
5/11/2026, 7:10:11 PM5 trades$660 min
7/15/2026, 2:07:56 PM2 trades$560 min
5/8/2026, 1:13:12 PM4 trades$500 min
5/6/2026, 4:15:59 PM2 trades$460 min
6/23/2026, 12:10:17 PM2 trades$450 min
1/4/2026, 8:39:19 AM1 trades$450 min
2/27/2026, 6:06:59 PM4 trades$422 min
5/11/2026, 9:28:07 PM2 trades$400 min
5/13/2026, 5:10:24 AM2 trades$400 min
4/13/2026, 6:44:23 PM4 trades$330 min
1/3/2026, 9:05:09 PM1 trades$300 min
7/18/2026, 5:12:34 PM2 trades$270 min
12/24/2025, 2:07:47 PM8 trades$2312 min
3/5/2026, 9:47:39 PM4 trades$202 min
4/16/2026, 7:12:26 PM4 trades$201 min
5/17/2026, 11:35:10 AM4 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
12-30
02-27
04-15
05-17
07-01
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.16/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.2 / M27.7 / H26.2