@404oz

#2,900,90920

0xeae4c6aec74b0fe26b2d6c7de9681b6bb5da5c60

~18d· 156 markets · 508 tradesVol: $19,7992026-08-04 22:39:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (53/155)2.1/20
0.96x (win $2,867 / loss $2,972)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6260/15
Sortino -0.8390/10
$-0.0273 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 152 (155 markets)10/10
9/17 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($701 / $596)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,776,539$-345Vol: $14,254
🌤️ WEATHER#289,836$-172Vol: $2,950
₿ CRYPTO#1,528,864$-186Vol: $1,232
💻 TECH#251,318$-139Vol: $559
🎭 CULTURE#739,251$-27Vol: $158

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-784
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,799
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
156
total markets
Trades
225B / 283S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
53W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-784
Win Rate
34%
53W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $835 (1.0653829958274317% of PnL)

Top Winners

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$474
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?$230
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$131
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$130
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists$129
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$104
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$99
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers$95
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers$80

Top Losers

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants$-180
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-157
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-115
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?$-112
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres$-96
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-93
Haiti leading at halftime?$-92
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$-72
Australia to score first vs. Paraguay?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.1
Active
Markets / Day
6.8
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule22 trades/day — high frequency6.8 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)63.6%
High (>55c)24.9%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 10:27:40 PM20 trades$4487 min
6/22/2026, 12:47:49 AM6 trades$3463 min
6/27/2026, 2:35:52 AM22 trades$33613 min
6/20/2026, 3:06:49 AM2 trades$3000 min
6/24/2026, 2:28:32 AM2 trades$3000 min
6/24/2026, 10:24:07 PM6 trades$2273 min
6/20/2026, 2:11:47 AM23 trades$2204 min
6/20/2026, 4:54:50 AM2 trades$2130 min
6/22/2026, 2:29:20 AM3 trades$2121 min
6/27/2026, 12:57:32 AM7 trades$2114 min
6/22/2026, 1:33:10 AM5 trades$2022 min
7/6/2026, 10:03:53 PM5 trades$1770 min
6/25/2026, 1:56:02 AM3 trades$1770 min
6/25/2026, 7:53:10 PM9 trades$1701 min
6/28/2026, 1:55:17 AM4 trades$1702 min
6/27/2026, 8:45:43 PM16 trades$1648 min
6/26/2026, 6:50:17 PM12 trades$1641 min
6/24/2026, 11:55:20 PM5 trades$1401 min
6/19/2026, 9:55:46 PM12 trades$1403 min
6/24/2026, 2:40:26 AM2 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-27
07-01
07-03
07-06
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.32/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.6 / M63.6 / H24.9