@0xeb15…ad34

11

0xeb15ed2969fa20b6fafb464c41efb774f3d1ad34

~19d· 439 markets · 2857 trades2026-08-05 18:23:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (83/439)0/20
0.54x (win $800 / loss $1,478)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.7310/15
Sortino -10.6440/10
$-0.2134 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 127 (439 markets)10/10
6/18 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($693 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-524
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,176
Total Redeem
$4,068
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
439
total markets
Trades
1254B / 1603S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
83W / 356L events
Realized PnL
$-524
Win Rate
19%
83W / 356L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183 (0.35027978839212387% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$28
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$25

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-151
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-56
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$-55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-39
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$-35
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-29
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.648
Sortino
-0.632
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.213
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.7
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency4.9 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.51
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 4:27:58 PM796 trades$2,32472 min
7/16/2026, 7:59:49 PM9 trades$2,0000 min
7/16/2026, 9:05:25 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/16/2026, 9:30:25 PM10 trades$9220 min
6/4/2026, 3:40:46 PM282 trades$74331 min
6/4/2026, 9:07:40 PM254 trades$71764 min
4/27/2026, 7:20:18 PM170 trades$33170 min
6/11/2026, 3:59:24 PM6 trades$25710 min
6/10/2026, 4:29:51 PM14 trades$23910 min
6/11/2026, 1:29:49 PM17 trades$21415 min
6/11/2026, 5:19:36 AM7 trades$2069 min
6/11/2026, 9:49:51 PM5 trades$2045 min
6/11/2026, 10:04:33 PM4 trades$2045 min
4/28/2026, 12:23:46 AM71 trades$17538 min
6/10/2026, 11:24:25 PM7 trades$1639 min
6/10/2026, 12:24:57 PM6 trades$1596 min
6/10/2026, 6:59:39 PM15 trades$15710 min
6/10/2026, 6:14:49 PM4 trades$1555 min
6/11/2026, 2:34:49 AM4 trades$1555 min
6/6/2026, 9:36:48 AM60 trades$1472 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-16
05-19
06-06
06-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.51/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.5 / M28.8 / H38.7