@thunderface

#1,639,13033

0xeb2298222651cee3615d5a1ee8613c8c793f5c7b

~80d· 436 markets · 565 tradesVol: $3,2802026-08-04 23:13:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (245/436)13.1/20
0.11x (win $8 / loss $73)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3730/15
Sortino -4.2700/10
$-0.0282 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 26 (436 markets)10/10
65/80 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 67940% of peak ($68 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Consistent
65/80 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,009,153$-1Vol: $1,922
📢 MENTIONS#127,215$-10Vol: $121
💰 FINANCE#172,328$0Vol: $91
🏛️ POLITICS#432,738$0Vol: $63
🌤️ WEATHER#166,902$-0Vol: $30
🎭 CULTURE#268,220$0Vol: $25
₿ CRYPTO#585,295$0Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,280
Total Redeem
$231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
436
total markets
Trades
444B / 121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $10
Week
$1
Vol: $55
Month
$1
Vol: $70
All Time
$-5
Vol: $3,280

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
245W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
56%
245W / 191L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.3314917127071823% of PnL)

Top Winners

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?$1
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$1
Will Toronto Marlies win American Hockey League?$1
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?$0
Will Yangon Galacticos Win the EWC Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Mid Season Cup?$0
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?$0
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?$0
Thunderbolt T10 League: Punjab Lions vs Mumbai Mavericks - Most Sixes Mumbai Mavericks Winner$0
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?$0
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$0

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$-10
Thunderbolt T10 League: Chennai Warlords vs Rajasthan Emperors - Toss Match Double Chennai Warlords Winner$-10
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?$-10
Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5$-6
Lasso Coulibaly: Anytime Goalscorer$-6
Exact Score: CA Osasuna 1 - 0 Girona FC?$-6
Oscar Bobb: Anytime Goalscorer$-6
Mena vs. Daniel: Match O/U 22.5$-5
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?$-5
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.31
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5300s — normal for humanCV 0.31 — uniform order sizes31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal2.6 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)99.5%

Sessions

#12
3/15/2026, 6:02:35 AM2 trades$163 min
2/14/2026, 8:15:09 PM3 trades$153 min
4/11/2026, 4:03:01 PM4 trades$152 min
2/27/2026, 5:06:13 PM3 trades$150 min
2/27/2026, 9:00:29 PM3 trades$152 min
3/14/2026, 5:55:49 PM2 trades$141 min
4/2/2026, 9:44:55 PM2 trades$120 min
2/25/2026, 3:35:38 AM2 trades$120 min
2/26/2026, 4:01:28 AM2 trades$120 min
2/26/2026, 1:13:54 PM2 trades$121 min
2/14/2026, 11:15:11 PM2 trades$100 min
2/16/2026, 5:45:13 AM2 trades$100 min
3/1/2026, 6:57:29 PM2 trades$100 min
3/2/2026, 6:31:23 AM2 trades$103 min
3/13/2026, 1:41:41 AM2 trades$100 min
3/16/2026, 3:42:41 AM1 trades$100 min
6/17/2026, 10:03:40 PM4 trades$103 min
6/21/2026, 9:05:05 PM4 trades$101 min
6/25/2026, 3:02:32 AM4 trades$101 min
6/25/2026, 10:03:37 PM4 trades$102 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-28
03-18
04-02
06-05
06-25
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.5 / H99.5