@0xebBf4F…2003

#2,913,78453

0xebbf4f015bd53ff1785453e8daeb334df7f6cf44

~14d· 156 markets · 955 tradesVol: $44,7442026-08-04 22:09:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (26/42)16/20
1.15x (win $195 / loss $169)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.27315/15
Sortino 2.81510/10
$+0.0030 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1915 (42 markets)2.9/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($51 / $60)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,565,207$-205Vol: $20,489
📢 MENTIONS#170,238$-245Vol: $6,285
⚽ SPORTS#1,655,998$-85Vol: $5,981
🎭 CULTURE#754,474$-41Vol: $3,709
📈 ECONOMICS#652,102$-62Vol: $2,599
💻 TECH#247,940$-85Vol: $2,479
₿ CRYPTO#1,208,601$-14Vol: $1,363
💰 FINANCE#630,215$-92Vol: $1,100
🌤️ WEATHER#261,811$-21Vol: $420

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-898
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,744
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
156
total markets
Trades
579B / 376S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $360
Week
$-9
Vol: $4,440
Month
$-197
Vol: $16,949
All Time
$-898
Vol: $44,744

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
26W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-898
Win Rate
62%
26W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $157 (0.17430334350566903% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$92
Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?$40
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?$24
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$9
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$9
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$7
Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$-43
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$-37
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?$-23
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-12
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?$-11
Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks?$-8
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?$-8
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?$-6
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?$-5
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.151
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.7m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)74.8%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 12:29:59 AM11 trades$2798 min
8/2/2026, 12:10:24 AM6 trades$2415 min
7/29/2026, 7:49:54 AM7 trades$1712 min
8/1/2026, 10:19:38 AM6 trades$1612 min
8/3/2026, 2:47:33 AM6 trades$1605 min
7/26/2026, 6:12:45 PM9 trades$1583 min
7/28/2026, 3:31:38 PM4 trades$1470 min
7/30/2026, 5:32:54 PM7 trades$1405 min
7/29/2026, 8:57:35 AM6 trades$1392 min
7/30/2026, 9:25:12 AM3 trades$1380 min
7/29/2026, 6:24:41 PM3 trades$1380 min
7/30/2026, 1:01:12 AM3 trades$1380 min
7/30/2026, 6:34:36 AM10 trades$1369 min
7/28/2026, 2:30:18 AM3 trades$1350 min
7/27/2026, 3:25:13 PM3 trades$1350 min
7/30/2026, 2:18:53 PM3 trades$1330 min
8/2/2026, 2:45:18 AM3 trades$1320 min
7/29/2026, 1:45:59 PM3 trades$1320 min
7/29/2026, 10:43:26 AM4 trades$1310 min
7/31/2026, 8:44:02 AM3 trades$1260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
04-24
07-24
07-25
07-27
07-28
07-29
07-30
07-31
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M17.3 / H74.8