@atoutlemonde

#2,974,83939

0xec346b35a2799d574cf65f43d8e0d9d3e276d61e

~145d· 2807 markets · 10969 tradesVol: $476,2122026-08-05 03:34:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (1141/2803)5.4/20
1.03x (win $17,158 / loss $16,695)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4668.7/15
Sortino 0.7287.3/10
$+0.0103 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 54 (2803 markets)10/10
69/143 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 122% of peak ($1,351 / $1,109)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,630,806$-1,318Vol: $374,340
🎭 CULTURE#15,113$173Vol: $39,445
🏛️ POLITICS#1,492,959$-69Vol: $37,664
⚽ SPORTS#1,662,004$-89Vol: $14,036
📈 ECONOMICS#671,644$-272Vol: $10,162
🌤️ WEATHER#178,782$-1Vol: $520
📢 MENTIONS#109,672$-4Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,581
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$476,212
Total Redeem
$2,663
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2807
total markets
Trades
10321B / 648S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $120
Week
$-78
Vol: $27,925
Month
$-284
Vol: $37,293
All Time
$-1,581
Vol: $476,212

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
1141W / 1661L events
Realized PnL
$-1,581
Win Rate
41%
1141W / 1661L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,727 (1.092783439933699% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$772
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$490
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$465
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$446
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$291
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$272
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$201
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$155
Solana Up or Down - December 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$153
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$140

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-162
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-123
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-107
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$-105
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-105
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.036
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.3
Active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.0m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock47 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.4%
Mid (20-55c)61.2%
High (>55c)5.4%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 7:32:16 PM6 trades$2,2021 min
7/30/2026, 11:20:33 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/29/2026, 12:30:42 PM13 trades$1,0830 min
7/29/2026, 7:13:39 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/1/2026, 9:04:38 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/3/2026, 12:57:17 PM22 trades$7636 min
1/21/2026, 9:07:08 PM27 trades$67610 min
12/27/2025, 6:37:25 PM39 trades$61723 min
1/25/2026, 7:36:42 PM69 trades$56621 min
2/27/2026, 2:40:09 PM99 trades$49187 min
8/2/2026, 8:35:44 AM50 trades$4359 min
1/28/2026, 2:26:17 PM55 trades$42722 min
2/16/2026, 3:12:13 PM8 trades$3733 min
1/25/2026, 7:16:00 PM13 trades$36812 min
2/16/2026, 2:45:27 PM37 trades$36519 min
1/20/2026, 10:40:18 PM2 trades$3480 min
7/27/2026, 11:18:39 AM6 trades$3401 min
7/30/2026, 1:31:32 PM4 trades$3073 min
12/28/2025, 5:29:23 PM8 trades$3061 min
6/17/2026, 1:30:22 PM23 trades$3002 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
01-15
02-08
03-04
04-26
06-11
08-01
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.4 / M61.2 / H5.4