@mengshangzai
#2,930,48820xec3c3994796e549fa433861ab872e991c2d35dc4
~19d· 30 markets · 874 tradesVol: $3,284,3092026-08-04 21:00:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (6/30)0/20
0.09x (win $18,607 / loss $196,007)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.0890/15
Sortino -9.6020/10
$-0.5198 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2056 (30 markets)2.2/10
3/13 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 168029% of peak ($177,506 / $106)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Whale
$341,265 invested
High Roller
$8,125/day
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,828,694$-1,030Vol: $3,284,309
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,030
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,284,309
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
148B / 726S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
17%
5W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-1,030
Win Rate
17%
5W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$3,101
Avg Loss
$-9,334
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,152 (15.684602536464098% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9,563
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$3,843
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,746
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2,349
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$106
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-82,148
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-51,915
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28,757
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,289
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-4,000
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-4,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-4,000
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-4,000
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-3,688
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,472
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.558
Sortino
-0.506
HHI
7578
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.282
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
77.4%
Top-5 markets
151.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
20.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 61s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
55.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)47.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)31.8%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 10:34:59 AM33 trades$97,3173 min
7/10/2026, 9:44:49 PM40 trades$90,7727 min
6/28/2026, 6:37:55 PM29 trades$72,7814 min
7/9/2026, 1:54:50 AM20 trades$53,5690 min
7/3/2026, 7:59:17 AM25 trades$50,3934 min
7/9/2026, 1:46:52 AM57 trades$49,5311 min
6/30/2026, 3:46:46 AM42 trades$37,6503 min
6/29/2026, 5:11:58 AM60 trades$23,3484 min
7/11/2026, 11:46:53 AM14 trades$23,2240 min
6/29/2026, 1:02:40 PM19 trades$19,9781 min
6/27/2026, 2:59:25 AM12 trades$19,7712 min
6/30/2026, 9:55:29 PM6 trades$19,4263 min
7/9/2026, 6:21:05 AM11 trades$14,7260 min
7/10/2026, 10:14:47 PM9 trades$13,9760 min
7/5/2026, 9:49:08 PM14 trades$11,2652 min
7/5/2026, 2:54:02 PM197 trades$10,9241 min
6/30/2026, 10:25:05 PM13 trades$10,8904 min
6/28/2026, 12:25:07 PM11 trades$10,0142 min
6/29/2026, 2:19:29 AM15 trades$9,9182 min
7/10/2026, 2:04:56 PM4 trades$9,9020 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-14
06-28
07-03
07-07
07-10
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
83.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 55.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.3 / M20.9 / H31.8