@pm.mm

#2,888,11121

0xec49bd0f31414effa1107091cedb319e37785975

~34d· 212 markets · 1256 tradesVol: $20,5702026-08-03 21:34:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (25/61)5.5/20
0.51x (win $393 / loss $774)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0850/15
Sortino -5.3180/10
$-0.0662 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 407 (61 markets)10/10
12/23 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($393 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,014$-208Vol: $7,975
💰 FINANCE#635,876$-123Vol: $3,580
⚽ SPORTS#1,625,091$-64Vol: $1,788
💻 TECH#249,210$-103Vol: $1,631
🎭 CULTURE#763,054$-52Vol: $1,468
₿ CRYPTO#1,246,578$-18Vol: $1,260
📈 ECONOMICS#646,376$-48Vol: $1,070
📢 MENTIONS#133,586$-12Vol: $213
🌤️ WEATHER#245,222$-10Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-701
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,570
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
212
total markets
Trades
838B / 418S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-17
Vol: $376
All Time
$-701
Vol: $20,570

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
25W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-701
Win Rate
41%
25W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $167 (0.23886541426368982% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$95
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$44
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$28
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$28
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$23
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?$22
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio 86%-89%?$18
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2$16
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?$13
Will Trump praise Dana White by July 31?$12

Top Losers

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-108
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-101
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-90
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-51
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$-44
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$-35
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$-33
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$-32
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$-28
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.260
Sortino
-0.248
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.195
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 585s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency4.7 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.66
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.3%
High (>55c)71.2%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 4:23:55 AM22 trades$2611 min
6/24/2026, 4:58:25 AM26 trades$2447 min
7/20/2026, 2:08:19 AM17 trades$2420 min
6/24/2026, 6:41:10 PM15 trades$22115 min
6/25/2026, 12:31:47 AM27 trades$1696 min
8/1/2026, 7:17:38 AM22 trades$1471 min
7/8/2026, 12:43:29 PM15 trades$1410 min
7/9/2026, 11:36:37 AM14 trades$1350 min
6/22/2026, 8:18:10 PM6 trades$944 min
6/24/2026, 5:20:31 AM10 trades$708 min
6/22/2026, 3:52:56 PM4 trades$691 min
6/24/2026, 8:21:52 PM6 trades$668 min
6/25/2026, 4:42:50 PM6 trades$654 min
7/29/2026, 2:46:47 AM12 trades$611 min
7/12/2026, 2:00:08 PM7 trades$6011 min
6/25/2026, 9:09:52 AM4 trades$572 min
6/24/2026, 7:17:11 PM8 trades$567 min
6/22/2026, 10:11:59 AM8 trades$555 min
6/24/2026, 3:45:08 PM7 trades$5411 min
7/15/2026, 11:02:20 PM3 trades$544 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-24
07-07
07-10
07-13
07-16
07-20
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M25.3 / H71.2