@gardiner

#98936

0xec8d7bf83a1db5f06b9535985e58ffd17708dd71

~92d· 629 markets · 7404 tradesVol: $6,093,2212026-08-04 22:38:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (300/628)8.9/20
1.03x (win $865,274 / loss $842,407)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2554.8/15
Sortino 0.3463.5/10
$+0.0122 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 194 (628 markets)10/10
46/90 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 160% of peak ($238,756 / $149,476)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+206,822
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,872,505 invested
High Roller
$3,959/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#462$206,782Vol: $6,081,030
🏛️ POLITICS#99,790$40Vol: $12,191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$206,822
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,093,221
Total Redeem
$269,538
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
629
total markets
Trades
4792B / 2612S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-17
Vol: $0
All Time
$206,822
Vol: $6,093,221

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
300W / 328L events
Realized PnL
$206,822
Win Rate
48%
300W / 328L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$2,884
Avg Loss
$-2,726

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $169,645 (0.8202453257426574% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$63,582
Spread: England (-2.5)$57,539
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$48,524
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?$42,778
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$40,673
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$33,026
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$26,467
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5$20,349
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5$20,342
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$18,084

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-17?$-82,000
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$-66,092
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-54,157
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$-52,356
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-05-02?$-34,382
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-24,762
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$-20,163
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$-18,975
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$-18,009
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$-14,347

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.014
HHI
281
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
7.8%
Half-Kelly
3.9%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
29%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.5m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 3.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity16 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)62.6%
High (>55c)29.9%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 7:57:01 PM36 trades$122,5901 min
5/17/2026, 6:00:52 PM59 trades$119,57132 min
5/2/2026, 11:28:20 AM145 trades$85,00723 min
6/23/2026, 7:10:43 PM20 trades$66,6233 min
5/19/2026, 7:05:30 PM30 trades$58,20410 min
6/6/2026, 12:40:18 PM27 trades$55,5553 min
6/7/2026, 12:21:55 PM123 trades$52,75427 min
4/4/2026, 6:15:49 PM47 trades$50,37529 min
6/25/2026, 7:04:50 PM160 trades$44,63734 min
6/25/2026, 7:49:23 PM89 trades$39,88211 min
6/12/2026, 9:07:42 AM8 trades$38,3074 min
6/12/2026, 6:56:39 PM105 trades$38,0124 min
5/13/2026, 6:52:19 PM33 trades$35,59812 min
4/12/2026, 12:44:07 PM31 trades$35,35721 min
5/17/2026, 1:53:09 PM19 trades$32,7627 min
5/19/2026, 5:48:20 PM171 trades$32,35432 min
6/24/2026, 8:30:20 PM71 trades$30,44010 min
4/8/2026, 4:03:47 PM16 trades$30,43110 min
6/6/2026, 12:59:24 PM73 trades$30,2167 min
5/17/2026, 6:37:42 PM3 trades$30,2002 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-10
04-28
05-16
06-12
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L7.5 / M62.6 / H29.9