@0xecA48c…9490

#3,027,6790

0xeca48c68b7cc6cea3c04b472ea905e567b9ffda6

~26d· 40 markets · 408 tradesVol: $61,6072026-08-06 15:53:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (11/37)0/20
0.81x (win $3,187 / loss $3,947)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0690/15
Sortino -1.6950/10
$-0.1437 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2700 (37 markets)0/10
2/14 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 155% of peak ($2,132 / $1,373)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,287$-3,079Vol: $61,425
CRYPTO#1,317,411$-29Vol: $182

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,607
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
193B / 215S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-100
Vol: $0
Month
$-210
Vol: $1,287
All Time
$-3,107
Vol: $61,607

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
11W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-3,107
Win Rate
30%
11W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$290
Avg Loss
$-164

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,040 (0.9783716118153237% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,803
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$159
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$44
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$35
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?$24
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$6
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$6

Top Losers

Iran leadership change by July 31?$-2,067
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$-656
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-187
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-171
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$-155
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?$-147
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-70
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$-59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$-57
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
1103
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
16.9%
Half-Kelly
8.4%
Top-1 market
29.2%
Top-5 markets
54.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.1%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)15.5%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 8:07:51 PM38 trades$5,58415 min
7/21/2026, 10:37:03 PM15 trades$4,3390 min
7/21/2026, 8:43:07 PM19 trades$1,5440 min
8/1/2026, 2:23:35 PM8 trades$1,1700 min
4/6/2026, 7:11:43 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/22/2026, 8:41:18 PM5 trades$9300 min
4/29/2026, 12:40:16 AM19 trades$9051 min
7/22/2026, 8:00:45 PM9 trades$8270 min
3/25/2026, 12:18:21 AM3 trades$6365 min
7/21/2026, 9:48:58 PM12 trades$52712 min
7/31/2026, 10:30:30 PM13 trades$5201 min
6/4/2026, 8:21:24 PM3 trades$4030 min
7/22/2026, 5:51:30 PM7 trades$3850 min
2/28/2026, 6:46:19 AM4 trades$3701 min
4/18/2026, 6:33:50 PM13 trades$3431 min
4/6/2026, 6:50:55 PM34 trades$3408 min
4/6/2026, 1:46:11 AM9 trades$3023 min
3/3/2026, 3:33:55 PM2 trades$2535 min
3/12/2026, 9:48:05 PM6 trades$2446 min
2/28/2026, 7:33:49 PM1 trades$2440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-12
03-22
04-06
04-20
05-03
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.1 / M11.4 / H15.5