@spraynpray

#253,77729

0xed06747bab9314563eed7b63784bf1c4b2a72a2c

~54d· 200 markets · 696 tradesVol: $18,658 @spraynpray_pm2026-08-04 15:18:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (93/168)12.7/20
0.68x (win $722 / loss $1,064)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0110/15
Sortino -2.2750/10
$-0.0671 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 324 (168 markets)10/10
25/45 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 2475% of peak ($482 / $19)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+89
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#200,952$30Vol: $8,179
🏛️ POLITICS#210,144$5Vol: $5,401
💰 FINANCE#23,612$61Vol: $2,041
📢 MENTIONS#107,353$-4Vol: $718
🌤️ WEATHER#26,338$7Vol: $698
₿ CRYPTO#1,129,889$-9Vol: $629
🎭 CULTURE#657,046$-6Vol: $206
📈 ECONOMICS#44,046$9Vol: $125
💻 TECH#218,009$-5Vol: $95

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$89
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,658
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
470B / 226S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$89
Vol: $18,658

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
93W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$89
Win Rate
55%
93W / 75L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $246 (2.746897708216881% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$106
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $76
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$64
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$57
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$36
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$36
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$25

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-289
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-158
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-103
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-51
Spurs vs. Knicks$-49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-48
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
426
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.1%
Top-5 markets
33.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 651s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active3.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)86.4%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 2:41:49 AM11 trades$2618 min
6/24/2026, 10:16:49 PM8 trades$2614 min
6/12/2026, 3:31:37 AM14 trades$17512 min
6/24/2026, 11:38:53 PM9 trades$1744 min
6/23/2026, 10:41:47 PM2 trades$1240 min
6/30/2026, 4:41:56 PM4 trades$1163 min
5/25/2026, 7:06:46 PM14 trades$11610 min
7/3/2026, 8:21:44 PM6 trades$1110 min
6/30/2026, 4:52:52 PM5 trades$990 min
6/30/2026, 5:47:10 PM3 trades$990 min
6/30/2026, 5:01:59 PM1 trades$970 min
6/5/2026, 7:01:09 PM12 trades$961 min
6/5/2026, 5:30:13 PM15 trades$956 min
6/23/2026, 2:47:31 AM2 trades$894 min
6/16/2026, 5:10:03 AM8 trades$8910 min
6/23/2026, 4:06:53 AM9 trades$867 min
6/12/2026, 6:08:36 PM14 trades$663 min
6/5/2026, 10:42:03 PM3 trades$650 min
6/16/2026, 6:35:26 PM3 trades$650 min
6/24/2026, 6:06:22 PM2 trades$635 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-24
06-02
06-12
06-22
06-30
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M11.1 / H86.4