milkai26

@milkai26

#75,61418

0xed229d040eac1bb1cdada3c7fc6009f5c0426450

~53d· 238 markets · 4288 tradesVol: $218,2002026-08-04 22:42:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (98/238)5.6/20
0.83x (win $10,854 / loss $13,152)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3620/15
Sortino -3.0370/10
$-0.0797 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 108 (238 markets)10/10
18/47 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 215% of peak ($4,416 / $2,056)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,131
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#1,546$1,064Vol: $217,635
SPORTS#140,357$73Vol: $316
🏛️ POLITICS#1,041,818$-3Vol: $106
💰 FINANCE#501,742$-2Vol: $81
📈 ECONOMICS#476,460$-1Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$218,200
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
238
total markets
Trades
1967B / 2321S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$148
Vol: $1,220
Week
$139
Vol: $2,688
Month
$89
Vol: $4,318
All Time
$1,131
Vol: $218,200

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
98W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$1,131
Win Rate
41%
98W / 140L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-95

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,094 (2.734826455484749% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?$1,049
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?$1,037
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?$1,009
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?$414
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?$312
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 25?$291
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 21?$289
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 23?$284
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 2?$269
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?$251

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?$-1,313
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?$-1,029
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?$-847
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?$-703
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2?$-506
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 2?$-419
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$-397
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?$-362
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?$-320
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?$-299

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.154
HHI
129
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.6m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 65s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.04
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)38.5%

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 9:07:23 AM11 trades$1,5743 min
5/13/2026, 6:15:54 AM91 trades$1,27715 min
3/29/2026, 3:58:56 AM1 trades$1,2140 min
4/2/2026, 7:38:17 AM70 trades$1,13612 min
4/3/2026, 8:27:01 AM86 trades$99629 min
4/3/2026, 3:54:23 PM19 trades$9261 min
4/3/2026, 2:10:35 AM31 trades$8911 min
3/22/2026, 6:56:27 AM24 trades$88118 min
4/26/2026, 5:00:10 AM43 trades$84711 min
3/27/2026, 2:27:23 PM4 trades$8472 min
4/28/2026, 4:41:42 AM21 trades$8115 min
4/28/2026, 4:53:20 AM7 trades$8061 min
4/3/2026, 12:56:35 PM45 trades$7893 min
4/29/2026, 7:45:24 AM58 trades$78217 min
4/2/2026, 7:17:07 AM25 trades$7804 min
4/28/2026, 5:08:42 AM96 trades$75815 min
5/12/2026, 7:02:00 AM23 trades$7079 min
3/25/2026, 8:07:53 AM14 trades$6917 min
4/2/2026, 5:21:39 AM28 trades$66112 min
4/25/2026, 8:48:46 AM57 trades$62811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-27
04-25
05-07
06-06
06-21
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.1 / M19.3 / H38.5