@0xed2936…4795

#2,845,88063

0xed2936cafdfcb672d2d14bf965ac357b07693848

~14d· 17 markets · 388 tradesVol: $20,3642026-08-05 01:11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (6/17)2.6/20
1.98x (win $931 / loss $471)14.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.42515/15
Sortino 11.70410/10
$+0.6907 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 968 (17 markets)7.7/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($373 / $461)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#295,386$-490Vol: $20,364

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-490
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,364
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
85B / 303S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $31
Week
$112
Vol: $1,358
Month
$315
Vol: $1,600
All Time
$-490
Vol: $20,364

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
6W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-500
Win Rate
35%
6W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.98x
Avg Win
$155
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $883 (1.7660289762266868% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?$707
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$142
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?$34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?$16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$14

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 14?$-93
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 14?$-83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$-76
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 28?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?$-36
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 11?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or below on July 11?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.671
HHI
1070
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.691
Kelly %
14.4%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
20.3%
Top-5 markets
62.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6851s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.6%
Mid (20-55c)37.6%
High (>55c)11.8%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 6:48:42 AM12 trades$3962 min
7/10/2026, 7:37:58 PM18 trades$2990 min
7/27/2026, 3:45:19 AM6 trades$2170 min
8/2/2026, 2:48:15 PM13 trades$1950 min
7/27/2026, 3:38:21 AM15 trades$1500 min
7/27/2026, 8:45:43 AM17 trades$1220 min
7/13/2026, 1:19:10 PM4 trades$1200 min
7/27/2026, 6:32:10 PM25 trades$1171 min
7/28/2026, 6:36:58 AM2 trades$990 min
7/13/2026, 9:20:26 PM11 trades$820 min
7/28/2026, 4:06:05 PM3 trades$750 min
7/13/2026, 7:53:07 PM11 trades$740 min
7/27/2026, 3:57:03 PM9 trades$730 min
8/2/2026, 3:00:21 AM6 trades$700 min
7/13/2026, 11:05:20 AM9 trades$650 min
8/2/2026, 3:36:11 AM6 trades$600 min
8/2/2026, 7:41:39 AM3 trades$600 min
8/2/2026, 6:34:51 AM5 trades$530 min
7/13/2026, 9:49:26 PM8 trades$530 min
7/27/2026, 1:33:39 PM5 trades$530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-10
07-13
07-16
07-27
07-29
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.6 / M37.6 / H11.8