@chainfish

#390,8243

0xeda6361c4592c1af6b2a82ed49add4a94d2565eb

~46d· 91 markets · 415 tradesVol: $78,975 @chain__fish2026-08-04 23:36:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (26/88)0/20
0.63x (win $388 / loss $619)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7010/15
Sortino -3.2200/10
$-0.1483 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1984 (88 markets)2.6/10
10/32 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 273% of peak ($364 / $133)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+25
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

7
CRYPTO#82,077$122Vol: $27,384
📢 MENTIONS#15,774$16Vol: $18,060
SPORTS#1,617,875$-60Vol: $9,780
💻 TECH#197,708$-2Vol: $6,481
💰 FINANCE#589,454$-16Vol: $6,040
🌤️ WEATHER#238,989$-8Vol: $5,133
🏛️ POLITICS#1,409,947$-27Vol: $4,946

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,975
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
311B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$25
Vol: $78,975

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
26W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$25
Win Rate
30%
26W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $177 (6.98773248911753% of PnL)

Top Winners

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$84
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$42
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$41
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$39
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$26
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?$25
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$22
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$8
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?$7

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$-198
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-87
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-54
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$-35
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-26
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-25
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$-21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$-18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.157
HHI
681
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 380s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)37.9%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 11:32:01 AM6 trades$6,0271 min
6/7/2026, 6:23:28 PM5 trades$4,0001 min
6/2/2026, 5:09:22 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/29/2026, 7:34:56 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/2/2026, 4:56:53 AM10 trades$9096 min
5/14/2026, 9:39:58 AM9 trades$2196 min
4/29/2026, 8:51:54 AM4 trades$2051 min
5/14/2026, 10:15:49 AM1 trades$1200 min
4/29/2026, 7:35:28 AM4 trades$1142 min
4/29/2026, 7:50:02 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/14/2026, 11:04:19 AM4 trades$960 min
6/6/2026, 9:31:16 AM2 trades$870 min
5/21/2026, 1:22:48 AM4 trades$754 min
6/6/2026, 4:17:48 PM2 trades$720 min
6/4/2026, 6:05:07 PM5 trades$704 min
6/5/2026, 1:44:52 AM4 trades$680 min
7/8/2026, 2:47:29 AM2 trades$560 min
6/6/2026, 8:50:09 AM5 trades$544 min
6/2/2026, 6:12:41 AM4 trades$463 min
4/22/2026, 5:01:06 PM2 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
04-22
05-15
06-03
06-09
06-24
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 117 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.6 / M4.5 / H37.9